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Bundesliga

Referee: R Schröder

FC Koln

U U T T T

7–1

Full-time

Werder Bremen

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 34%

27%

40%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

53%

60%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

1,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 5–1

3,20 xG 0,28

51% Possession 49%

15 Shots 4

7 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Koln 13. · Werder Bremen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	10	5	1	+36	-0.1	35
2	Ein Frankfurt	16	9	3	4	+11	-0.7	30
3	Union Berlin	16	9	3	4	+6	+1.9	30
4	Freiburg	16	9	3	4	+2	-2.0	30
5	RB Leipzig	16	8	5	3	+9	+0.1	29
6	Wolfsburg	16	7	5	4	+10	+2.0	26
7	Dortmund	15	8	1	6	+4	–	25
8	M'gladbach	15	6	4	5	+4	–	22
9	Werder Bremen	15	6	3	6	-2	–	21
10	Mainz	16	5	5	6	-5	-0.4	20
11	Leverkusen	15	5	3	7	-1	–	18
12	Hoffenheim	16	5	3	8	-2	-1.9	18
13	FC Koln	15	4	5	6	-8	–	17
14	Bochum	16	5	1	10	-20	+0.6	16
15	Augsburg	15	4	3	8	-8	–	15
16	Stuttgart	16	3	6	7	-9	+0.4	15
17	Hertha	16	3	5	8	-5	-0.6	14
18	Schalke 04	16	2	3	11	-22	+0.7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	8	6	2	0	+14	+0.1	20
2	Union Berlin	8	6	2	0	+10	+1.9	20
3	M'gladbach	8	6	0	2	+10	–	18
4	Bayern Munich	7	5	2	0	+20	–	17
5	Dortmund	7	5	1	1	+10	–	16
6	Ein Frankfurt	9	5	1	3	+8	-0.7	16
7	Freiburg	7	5	1	1	+7	–	16
8	Wolfsburg	8	4	3	1	+11	+2.0	15
9	Bochum	8	4	1	3	-3	+0.6	13
10	Stuttgart	9	3	3	3	+1	+0.4	12
11	Leverkusen	8	3	2	3	+6	–	11
12	FC Koln	7	3	2	2	+2	–	11
13	Werder Bremen	8	3	1	4	+1	–	10
14	Hertha	8	2	4	2	+1	–	10
15	Hoffenheim	8	3	1	4	-1	–	10
16	Mainz	7	1	4	2	-1	–	7
17	Schalke 04	8	2	1	5	-10	–	7
18	Augsburg	8	1	2	5	-8	–	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	5	3	1	+16	-0.1	18
2	Ein Frankfurt	7	4	2	1	+3	–	14
3	Freiburg	9	4	2	3	-5	-2.0	14
4	Mainz	9	4	1	4	-4	-0.4	13
5	Wolfsburg	8	3	2	3	-1	–	11
6	Werder Bremen	7	3	2	2	-3	–	11
7	Augsburg	7	3	1	3	+0	–	10
8	Union Berlin	8	3	1	4	-4	–	10
9	RB Leipzig	8	2	3	3	-5	–	9
10	Dortmund	8	3	0	5	-6	–	9
11	Hoffenheim	8	2	2	4	-1	-1.9	8
12	Leverkusen	7	2	1	4	-7	–	7
13	FC Koln	8	1	3	4	-10	–	6
14	M'gladbach	7	0	4	3	-6	–	4
15	Hertha	8	1	1	6	-6	-0.6	4
16	Stuttgart	7	0	3	4	-10	–	3
17	Bochum	8	1	0	7	-17	–	3
18	Schalke 04	8	0	2	6	-12	+0.7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.