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Serie A

Referee: D Chiffi

Salernitana

T T T U T

0–2

Full-time

Napoli

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,2

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

3,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+1,3

This season — Serie A · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 53%

22%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

67%

61%

Both score Ø 59%

61%

56%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,3

2,4

Conceded

1,9

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,40 xG 1,38

25% Possession 75%

5 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

4 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salernitana 16. · Napoli 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	18	15	2	1	+30	–	47
2	Milan	18	11	5	2	+15	–	38
3	Juventus	18	11	4	3	+15	–	37
4	Inter	18	12	1	5	+14	–	37
5	Lazio	18	10	4	4	+16	–	34
6	Atalanta	18	10	4	4	+14	–	34
7	Roma	18	10	4	4	+7	–	34
8	Udinese	18	6	7	5	+5	–	25
9	Torino	18	6	5	7	-2	–	23
10	Fiorentina	18	6	5	7	-3	–	23
11	Bologna	18	6	4	8	-6	–	22
12	Empoli	18	5	7	6	-6	–	22
13	Monza	18	6	3	9	-5	–	21
14	Lecce	19	4	8	7	-4	+0.3	20
15	Spezia	18	4	6	8	-11	–	18
16	Salernitana	18	4	6	8	-12	–	18
17	Sassuolo	18	4	4	10	-11	–	16
18	Verona	19	3	3	13	-14	-0.3	12
19	Sampdoria	18	2	3	13	-23	–	9
20	Cremonese	18	0	7	11	-19	–	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	9	8	1	0	+19	–	25
2	Inter	9	8	0	1	+17	–	24
3	Juventus	9	7	2	0	+18	–	23
4	Milan	9	7	1	1	+11	–	22
5	Lazio	9	5	2	2	+7	–	17
6	Roma	9	5	1	3	+5	–	16
7	Bologna	9	4	3	2	+5	–	15
8	Fiorentina	9	4	3	2	+0	–	15
9	Atalanta	9	4	2	3	+6	–	14
10	Empoli	9	4	2	3	+0	–	14
11	Udinese	9	3	4	2	+5	–	13
12	Monza	9	4	1	4	+3	–	13
13	Salernitana	9	3	3	3	+3	–	12
14	Spezia	9	2	6	1	+1	–	12
15	Torino	9	3	3	3	+1	–	12
16	Sassuolo	9	3	2	4	+1	–	11
17	Lecce	9	2	5	2	+0	–	11
18	Verona	10	3	0	7	-5	-0.3	9
19	Cremonese	9	0	3	6	-11	–	3
20	Sampdoria	9	0	2	7	-13	–	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	9	7	1	1	+11	–	22
2	Atalanta	9	6	2	1	+8	–	20
3	Roma	9	5	3	1	+2	–	18
4	Lazio	9	5	2	2	+9	–	17
5	Milan	9	4	4	1	+4	–	16
6	Juventus	9	4	2	3	-3	–	14
7	Inter	9	4	1	4	-3	–	13
8	Udinese	9	3	3	3	+0	–	12
9	Torino	9	3	2	4	-3	–	11
10	Lecce	10	2	3	5	-4	+0.3	9
11	Fiorentina	9	2	2	5	-3	–	8
12	Empoli	9	1	5	3	-6	–	8
13	Monza	9	2	2	5	-8	–	8
14	Sampdoria	9	2	1	6	-10	–	7
15	Bologna	9	2	1	6	-11	–	7
16	Spezia	9	2	0	7	-12	–	6
17	Salernitana	9	1	3	5	-15	–	6
18	Sassuolo	9	1	2	6	-12	–	5
19	Cremonese	9	0	4	5	-8	–	4
20	Verona	9	0	3	6	-9	–	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.