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LaLiga2

Referee: Raúl González

Malaga

U S T U T

1–1

Full-time

Burgos

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Burgos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 30%

17%

43%

Points per game

0,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 28%

30%

26%

Both score Ø 39%

52%

26%

Average goals

2,0

1,5

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

1,2

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

8 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 5

4 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 21. · Burgos 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	24	12	9	3	+14	45
2	Eibar	23	12	7	4	+9	43
3	Levante	23	10	10	3	+11	40
4	Burgos	23	10	8	5	+8	38
5	Alaves	23	10	7	6	+2	37
6	Albacete	23	9	9	5	+3	36
7	Granada	23	10	5	8	+8	35
8	Leganes	23	9	6	8	+2	33
9	Cartagena	23	9	6	8	+1	33
10	Andorra	23	9	5	9	+6	32
11	Mirandes	24	7	9	8	-1	30
12	Huesca	23	7	9	7	-1	30
13	Oviedo	23	8	6	9	-3	30
14	Zaragoza	23	7	8	8	+0	29
15	Sp Gijon	23	6	10	7	-2	28
16	Villarreal B	23	7	7	9	-4	28
17	Tenerife	23	6	9	8	-2	27
18	Santander	23	6	7	10	-2	25
19	Ponferradina	23	6	7	10	-8	25
20	Lugo	23	5	6	12	-11	21
21	Malaga	23	4	8	11	-10	20
22	Ibiza	23	4	4	15	-20	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	12	9	3	0	+12	30
2	Granada	11	9	2	0	+20	29
3	Alaves	11	7	3	1	+7	24
4	Leganes	12	7	3	2	+5	24
5	Levante	12	6	4	2	+8	22
6	Burgos	12	6	4	2	+7	22
7	Huesca	11	6	4	1	+7	22
8	Mirandes	12	6	4	2	+6	22
9	Las Palmas	12	6	4	2	+6	22
10	Villarreal B	12	5	5	2	+6	20
11	Albacete	12	5	5	2	+6	20
12	Tenerife	12	5	5	2	+5	20
13	Oviedo	12	6	2	4	+1	20
14	Andorra	11	6	1	4	+10	19
15	Cartagena	12	5	3	4	+0	18
16	Sp Gijon	11	4	5	2	+5	17
17	Zaragoza	11	4	5	2	+3	17
18	Ponferradina	11	4	3	4	-1	15
19	Malaga	11	3	5	3	-3	14
20	Lugo	11	3	4	4	+0	13
21	Ibiza	12	3	3	6	-5	12
22	Santander	11	2	4	5	-3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	12	6	5	1	+8	23
2	Levante	11	4	6	1	+3	18
3	Burgos	11	4	4	3	+1	16
4	Albacete	11	4	4	3	-3	16
5	Santander	12	4	3	5	+1	15
6	Cartagena	11	4	3	4	+1	15
7	Eibar	11	3	4	4	-3	13
8	Andorra	12	3	4	5	-4	13
9	Alaves	12	3	4	5	-5	13
10	Zaragoza	12	3	3	6	-3	12
11	Sp Gijon	12	2	5	5	-7	11
12	Oviedo	11	2	4	5	-4	10
13	Ponferradina	12	2	4	6	-7	10
14	Leganes	11	2	3	6	-3	9
15	Mirandes	12	1	5	6	-7	8
16	Huesca	12	1	5	6	-8	8
17	Villarreal B	11	2	2	7	-10	8
18	Lugo	12	2	2	8	-11	8
19	Tenerife	11	1	4	6	-7	7
20	Malaga	12	1	3	8	-7	6
21	Granada	12	1	3	8	-12	6
22	Ibiza	11	1	1	9	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.