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Super League
Referee: F San
Luzern
S S U T T
2–2
Full-time
Zurich
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Super League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 22%
31%
13%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
44%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
5 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 6. · Zurich 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 16 10 5 1 +26 35
2 Servette 16 6 7 3 +1 25
3 St. Gallen 16 7 3 6 +9 24
4 Lugano 16 7 2 7 +0 23
5 Basel 16 5 6 5 +4 21
6 Luzern 16 5 5 6 +0 20
7 Grasshoppers 16 5 5 6 -2 20
8 Sion 16 5 5 6 -6 20
9 Winterthur 16 4 4 8 -18 16
10 Zurich 16 2 6 8 -14 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Jul -22 Zurich – Luzern 0–0 22. May -22 Zurich – Luzern 2–3 2. Mar -22 Luzern – Zurich 0–2 4. Dec -21 Zurich – Luzern 4–0 8. Aug -21 Luzern – Zurich 1–3

Match report

Luzern Zurich
-5′
🟨 Blerim Džemaili
Ardon Jashari 🟨
4′
39′
🟨 Adrián Guerrero
Half-time 0–0
57′
🔁 B. Krasniqi
↦ B. Džemaili
Pascal Schürpf ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
60′
61′
🟨 Cheick Oumar Conde
1–0 M. Meyer ⚽
62′
Ismajl Beka 🟨
69′
Asumah Abubakar 🔁
↦ M. Dräger
72′
Nicky Medja Beloko 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 R. Šimić
↦ J. Okita
77′
🔁 L. Kamberi
↦ F. Aliti
2–0 S. Chader ⚽
P. Schürpf
83′
T. Klidjé 🔁
↦ S. Chader
84′
M. Diambou 🔁
↦ N. Beloko
88′
88′
🔁 F. Rohner
↦ Adrián Guerrero
88′
🔁 C. Ligue
↦ A. Marchesano
89′
⚽ R. Šimić 2–1
93′
⚽ R. Šimić 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Luzern

4-2-3-1
1 M. Müller G
20 P. Dorn D
46 M. Burch D
30 I. Beka D
13 M. Frýdek D
18 N. Beloko M
6 A. Jashari M
2 M. Dräger M
7 M. Meyer M
11 P. Schürpf M
69 S. Chader F
Bench (9)
21 Asumah Abubakar
17 T. Klidjé
15 M. Diambou
4 L. Jaquez
10 S. Campo
19 J. Ardaiz
33 L. Meyer
90 V. Vasić
5 D. Simani

Coach: M. Frick

Zurich

3-1-4-2
1 Ž. Kostadinović G
4 B. Omeragić D
24 N. Katić D
6 F. Aliti D
17 C. Condé M
19 N. Boranijašević M
10 A. Marchesano M
21 B. Džemaili M
3 Adrián Guerrero M
15 A. Tosin F
11 J. Okita F
Bench (9)
7 B. Krasniqi
22 R. Šimić
2 L. Kamberi
23 F. Rohner
38 C. Ligue
33 S. Seiler
34 G. De Nitti
16 M. Hornschuh
31 M. Kryeziu

Coach: B. Henriksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F San · 137 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.