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Bundesliga
Referee: M Petersen
Bochum
S T T S S
3–1
Full-time
Hertha
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bochum Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 24%
27%
20%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
73%
47%
Both score Ø 57%
47%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
2,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,57 xG 1,01
49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bochum 17. · Hertha 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 16 10 5 1 +36 -0.1 35
2 Freiburg 15 9 3 3 +8 30
3 RB Leipzig 16 8 5 3 +9 +0.1 29
4 Ein Frankfurt 15 8 3 4 +8 27
5 Union Berlin 15 8 3 4 +4 27
6 Dortmund 15 8 1 6 +4 25
7 Wolfsburg 15 6 5 4 +4 23
8 M'gladbach 15 6 4 5 +4 22
9 Werder Bremen 15 6 3 6 -2 21
10 Mainz 15 5 4 6 -5 19
11 Hoffenheim 15 5 3 7 +0 18
12 Leverkusen 15 5 3 7 -1 18
13 FC Koln 15 4 5 6 -8 17
14 Augsburg 15 4 3 8 -8 15
15 Hertha 15 3 5 7 -3 14
16 Stuttgart 15 3 5 7 -9 14
17 Bochum 15 4 1 10 -22 13
18 Schalke 04 15 2 3 10 -19 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bochum Hertha
13′
ℹ️ Lucas Tousart
VAR: Goal cancelled
1–0 P. Hofmann
P. Förster
22′
39′
🟨 Marc-Oliver Kempf
Danilo Soares 🟨
41′
2–0 K. Schlotterbeck
P. Förster
44′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 P. Hofmann
C. Antwi-Adjei
56′
P. Kunde 🔁
↦ P. Förster
59′
64′
🔁 M. Maolida
↦ I. Šunjić
64′
🔁 S. Serdar
↦ J. Boëtius
64′
🔁 J. Ngankam
↦ D. Scherhant
T. Asano 🔁
↦ S. Zoller
72′
G. Holtmann 🔁
↦ C. Antwi-Adjei
72′
S. Ganvoula 🔁
↦ P. Hofmann
80′
P. Osterhage 🔁
↦ K. Stöger
81′
87′
S. Serdar 3–1
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Bochum

4-3-3
1 M. Riemann G
23 S. Janko D
20 I. Ordets D
31 K. Schlotterbeck D
3 Danilo Soares D
10 P. Förster M
8 A. Losilla M
7 K. Stöger M
9 S. Zoller F
33 P. Hofmann F
22 C. Antwi-Adjei F
Bench (9)
28 P. Kunde
11 T. Asano
17 G. Holtmann
35 S. Ganvoula
6 P. Osterhage
18 J. Osei-Tutu
4 E. Mašović
26 M. Johansson
24 V. Lampropoulos

Coach: T. Letsch

Hertha

4-2-3-1
1 O. Christensen G
16 J. Kenny D
3 A. Rogel D
20 M. Kempf D
17 M. Mittelstädt D
29 L. Tousart M
34 I. Šunjić M
23 M. Richter M
10 J. Boëtius M
39 D. Scherhant M
18 W. Kanga F
Bench (9)
11 M. Maolida
8 S. Serdar
24 J. Ngankam
21 M. Plattenhardt
31 M. Dárdai
12 T. Ernst
27 K. Boateng
2 P. Pekarík
5 F. Uremović

Coach: S. Schwarz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,39
U
3,55
B
2,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
2,02
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Petersen · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.