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Bundesliga

Referee: H Osmers

Union Berlin

U T U S T

2–1

Full-time

RB Leipzig

S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

54%

Both score Ø 62%

69%

54%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%

14 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Union Berlin 6. · RB Leipzig 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	10	1	2	+29	31
2	Dortmund	13	10	0	3	+14	30
3	Leverkusen	13	7	3	3	+10	24
4	Freiburg	13	6	4	3	+6	22
5	Hoffenheim	13	6	2	5	+7	20
6	Union Berlin	13	5	5	3	+1	20
7	Wolfsburg	13	6	2	5	-2	20
8	RB Leipzig	13	5	3	5	+8	18
9	Mainz	13	5	3	5	+3	18
10	FC Koln	13	4	6	3	+0	18
11	M'gladbach	13	5	3	5	+0	18
12	Ein Frankfurt	13	4	6	3	-1	18
13	Bochum	13	5	1	7	-8	16
14	Hertha	13	4	2	7	-14	14
15	Stuttgart	13	3	4	6	-5	13
16	Augsburg	13	3	4	6	-10	13
17	Bielefeld	13	1	6	6	-10	9
18	Greuther Furth	13	0	1	12	-28	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	7	7	0	0	+12	21
2	Bayern Munich	7	6	0	1	+18	18
3	RB Leipzig	7	5	0	2	+12	15
4	FC Koln	7	4	3	0	+8	15
5	M'gladbach	6	4	2	0	+8	14
6	Union Berlin	7	4	2	1	+3	14
7	Hoffenheim	6	4	1	1	+9	13
8	Bochum	6	4	1	1	+5	13
9	Mainz	7	3	3	1	+6	12
10	Freiburg	6	3	2	1	+4	11
11	Stuttgart	7	3	1	3	+3	10
12	Augsburg	6	3	1	2	-2	10
13	Wolfsburg	7	3	1	3	-3	10
14	Leverkusen	6	3	0	3	-1	9
15	Hertha	6	2	2	2	+0	8
16	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	4	1	+0	7
17	Bielefeld	7	0	4	3	-7	4
18	Greuther Furth	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	7	4	3	0	+11	15
2	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+11	13
3	Freiburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
4	Ein Frankfurt	7	3	2	2	-1	11
5	Wolfsburg	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Dortmund	6	3	0	3	+2	9
7	Hoffenheim	7	2	1	4	-2	7
8	Union Berlin	6	1	3	2	-2	6
9	Mainz	6	2	0	4	-3	6
10	Hertha	7	2	0	5	-14	6
11	Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	-3	5
12	M'gladbach	7	1	1	5	-8	4
13	RB Leipzig	6	0	3	3	-4	3
14	FC Koln	6	0	3	3	-8	3
15	Stuttgart	6	0	3	3	-8	3
16	Augsburg	7	0	3	4	-8	3
17	Bochum	7	1	0	6	-13	3
18	Greuther Furth	7	0	0	7	-19	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.