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Bundesliga
Referee: H Osmers
Stuttgart
U T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Hertha
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
1,8
0,3
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,7
This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 25%
30%
20%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
65%
60%
Both score Ø 65%
75%
55%
Average goals
3,6
3,1
Scored
1,9
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
21 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 10. · Hertha 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 20 15 3 2 +32 48
2 RB Leipzig 21 13 5 3 +19 44
3 Wolfsburg 20 10 8 2 +13 38
4 Ein Frankfurt 20 9 9 2 +12 36
5 Leverkusen 20 10 5 5 +16 35
6 Dortmund 20 10 2 8 +10 32
7 M'gladbach 20 8 8 4 +6 32
8 Freiburg 20 8 6 6 +2 30
9 Union Berlin 20 7 8 5 +9 29
10 Stuttgart 20 6 7 7 +3 25
11 Werder Bremen 19 5 7 7 -3 22
12 Hoffenheim 20 6 4 10 -7 22
13 Augsburg 21 6 4 11 -13 22
14 FC Koln 20 5 6 9 -13 21
15 Hertha 20 4 5 11 -11 17
16 Bielefeld 19 5 2 12 -17 17
17 Mainz 20 3 4 13 -21 13
18 Schalke 04 20 1 5 14 -37 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Hertha
Konstantinos Mavropanos 🟨
7′
13′
🟨 Krzysztof Piątek
37′
🟨 Peter Pekarík
Borna Sosa ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
45′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 S. Kalajdzic
B. Sosa
46′
58′
🔁 N. Radonjić
↦ K. Piątek
58′
🔁 S. Khedira
↦ S. Ascacíbar
T. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ S. Wamangituka
68′
D. Didavi 🔁
↦ E. Thommy
68′
Atakan Karazor 🟨
69′
79′
🔁 L. Netz
↦ M. Mittelstädt
79′
🔁 M. Leckie
↦ P. Pekarík
82′
L. Netz 1–1
S. Khedira
A. Cissé 🔁
↦ P. Förster
86′
M. Klimowicz 🔁
↦ S. Kalajdzic
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stuttgart

3-4-3
1 G. Kobel G
16 A. Karazor D
2 W. Anton D
24 B. Sosa M
5 K. Mavropanos D
3 W. Endo M
11 E. Thommy F
20 P. Förster F
23 O. Mangala M
9 S. Kalajdzic F
14 S. Wamangituka M
Bench (9)
7 T. Coulibaly
10 D. Didavi
29 A. Cissé
31 M. Klimowicz
21 P. Klement
32 N. Ahamada
35 M. Kamiński
15 P. Stenzel
33 F. Bredlow

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Hertha

4-3-3
22 R. Jarstein G
2 P. Pekarík D
5 N. Stark D
14 O. Alderete D
17 M. Mittelstädt D
29 L. Tousart M
18 S. Ascacíbar M
8 M. Guendouzi M
11 D. Lukébakio F
9 K. Piątek F
10 Matheus Cunha F
Bench (9)
24 N. Radonjić
28 S. Khedira
32 L. Netz
7 M. Leckie
13 L. Klünter
23 E. Löwen
6 V. Darida
1 A. Schwolow
31 M. Dárdai

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,25
U ✓
3,55
B
3,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,58
U2,5 ✓
2,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.