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Süper Lig
Referee: Volkan Bayarslan
Karagumruk
U S S T T
2–0
Full-time
Alanyaspor
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Alanyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 44%
40%
48%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
64%
44%
Both score Ø 64%
72%
56%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 8. · Alanyaspor 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 25 17 3 5 +31 54
2 Besiktas 25 17 3 5 +30 54
3 Fenerbahce 25 16 3 6 +20 51
4 Trabzonspor 25 14 6 5 +8 48
5 Hatayspor 26 13 6 7 +15 45
6 Alanyaspor 25 12 6 7 +16 42
7 Gaziantep 26 10 10 6 +8 40
8 Karagumruk 25 10 7 8 +5 37
9 Antalyaspor 25 7 12 6 -5 33
10 Goztep 25 8 8 9 +4 32
11 Konyaspor 25 8 7 10 +2 31
12 Sivasspor 24 7 10 7 -1 31
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 26 7 10 9 -2 31
14 Kasimpasa 25 8 5 12 -11 29
15 Rizespor 25 6 9 10 -12 27
16 Kayserispor 25 6 7 12 -13 25
17 Erzurumspor 25 6 7 12 -15 25
18 Buyuksehyr 25 6 6 13 -16 24
19 Denizlispor 26 5 6 15 -23 21
20 Genclerbirligi 25 5 6 14 -25 21
21 Ankaragücü 25 5 5 15 -16 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Alanyaspor
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Ndao
A. Bertolacci
50′
Andrea Bertolacci 🟨
54′
Alassane Ndao 🟨
54′
55′
🟨 Davidson
60′
🔁 D. Kądzior
↦ U. Güneş
60′
🔁 A. Bareiro
↦ Davidson
65′
ℹ️ Mustafa Pektemek
VAR: Goal cancelled
66′
🟨 Salih Uçan
76′
🔁 E. Bekiroglu
↦ E. Karaca
77′
🔁 Juanfran
↦ F. Moubandje
M. Erdinç 🔁
↦ A. Sobiech
81′
J. Durmaz 🔁
↦ L. Castro
81′
86′
🟨 Juanfran
2–0 F. Borini
G. Campi
88′
Y. Salibur 🔁
↦ A. Ndao
91′
93′
🔁 F. Aksoy
↦ S. Caulker
J. Lens 🔁
↦ F. Borini
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-1-4-1
2 E. Viviano G
26 V. Hedenstad D
5 E. Roco D
29 J. Balkovec D
37 G. Campi D
6 L. Biglia M
89 L. Castro M
91 A. Bertolacci M
18 A. Ndao M
9 A. Sobiech F
16 F. Borini M
Bench (10)
11 M. Erdinç
71 J. Durmaz
77 J. Lens
19 Y. Salibur
22 F. Kuruçuk
90 K. Ademi
93 A. Özer
3 A. Erdem
23 A. Aktaş
96 E. Çolak

Coach: A. Canel

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
28 Marafona G
31 G. Tzavellas D
44 S. Caulker D
21 F. Moubandje D
7 E. Karaca M
8 S. Uçan M
75 T. Bingöl D
27 U. Güneş M
22 B. Kutlu M
19 M. Pektemek F
91 Davidson M
Bench (10)
92 D. Kądzior
9 A. Bareiro
23 E. Bekiroglu
24 Juanfran
5 F. Aksoy
14 H. Acar
30 S. Kırıntılı
26 E. Siopis
6 C. Gülselam
4 A. Çelebi

Coach: S. Tokatlı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,85
U
3,56
B
2,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Volkan Bayarslan · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.