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Bundesliga
Referee: R Hartmann
Bielefeld
T S T S U
3–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,0
3,5
Scored
0,3
2,2
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 28%
25%
31%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
38%
63%
Both score Ø 60%
38%
81%
Average goals
2,1
3,5
Scored
0,6
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
9 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bielefeld 16. · Stuttgart 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 16 11 3 2 +23 36
2 Leverkusen 17 9 5 3 +15 32
3 RB Leipzig 16 9 5 2 +14 32
4 Dortmund 17 9 2 6 +11 29
5 Wolfsburg 17 7 8 2 +7 29
6 Union Berlin 16 7 7 2 +12 28
7 M'gladbach 17 7 7 3 +5 28
8 Ein Frankfurt 16 6 8 2 +4 26
9 Freiburg 16 6 5 5 +3 23
10 Stuttgart 16 5 7 4 +8 22
11 Hoffenheim 17 5 4 8 -5 19
12 Augsburg 16 5 4 7 -8 19
13 Werder Bremen 17 4 6 7 -6 18
14 Hertha 17 4 5 8 -5 17
15 FC Koln 17 3 6 8 -13 15
16 Bielefeld 16 4 2 10 -14 14
17 Mainz 17 1 4 12 -21 7
18 Schalke 04 17 1 4 12 -30 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bielefeld Stuttgart
1–0 F. Klos
J. Laursen
27′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 M. Kempf
own goal
47′
57′
🔁 P. Klement
↦ P. Stenzel
57′
🔁 R. Massimo
↦ T. Coulibaly
Reinhold Yabo 🟨
60′
C. Gebauer 🔁
↦ R. Yabo
62′
S. Schipplock 🔁
↦ S. Córdova
62′
64′
🔁 D. Churlinov
↦ B. Sosa
64′
🔁 D. Didavi
↦ P. Förster
N. Seufert 🔁
↦ F. Klos
81′
2–1 R. Doan
N. Seufert
86′
C. Soukou 🔁
↦ R. Doan
89′
M. van der Hoorn 🔁
↦ M. Hartel
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Bielefeld

4-1-3-2
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
5 J. Laursen D
4 J. Nilsson D
27 C. Brunner D
2 A. Pieper D
10 R. Yabo M
30 M. Hartel M
16 F. Kunze M
8 R. Doan M
9 F. Klos F
18 S. Córdova F
Bench (9)
7 C. Gebauer
36 S. Schipplock
20 N. Seufert
17 C. Soukou
6 M. van der Hoorn
34 O. Linnér
23 Anderson Lucoqui
15 N. De Medina
31 A. Maier

Coach: U. Neuhaus

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
1 G. Kobel G
4 M. Kempf D
2 W. Anton D
15 P. Stenzel D
24 B. Sosa M
3 W. Endo M
20 P. Förster F
23 O. Mangala M
31 M. Klimowicz F
7 T. Coulibaly M
9 S. Kalajdzic F
Bench (9)
21 P. Klement
30 R. Massimo
19 D. Churlinov
10 D. Didavi
8 G. Castro
11 E. Thommy
5 K. Mavropanos
33 F. Bredlow
16 A. Karazor

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,32
U
3,77
B
1,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.