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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Brych
Stuttgart
U T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Hertha
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,7
3,7
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 32%
29%
35%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
35%
47%
Both score Ø 53%
35%
71%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
5 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 14. · Hertha 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 18 14 2 2 +28 44
2 Schalke 04 17 8 6 3 +7 30
3 Dortmund 17 8 4 5 +15 28
4 Leverkusen 18 7 7 4 +9 28
5 RB Leipzig 17 8 4 5 +2 28
6 M'gladbach 17 8 4 5 -1 28
7 Hoffenheim 17 7 5 5 +5 26
8 Ein Frankfurt 17 7 5 5 +2 26
9 Augsburg 17 6 6 5 +4 24
10 Hertha 17 6 6 5 +1 24
11 Hannover 17 6 5 6 -2 23
12 Wolfsburg 17 3 10 4 +0 19
13 Freiburg 17 4 7 6 -14 19
14 Stuttgart 17 5 2 10 -8 17
15 Mainz 17 4 5 8 -9 17
16 Werder Bremen 17 3 6 8 -7 15
17 Hamburg 17 4 3 10 -10 15
18 FC Koln 17 1 3 13 -22 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Hertha
Half-time 0–0
D. Ginczek 🔁
↦ A. Donis
58′
E. Insúa 🔁
↦ C. Akolo
70′
77′
🔁 V. Ibišević
↦ D. Selke
0–1 N. Stark
own goal
78′
H. Badstuber 🔁
↦ B. Özcan
83′
86′
🔁 O. Duda
↦ V. Lazaro
Mario Gómez 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Stuttgart

4-4-2
16 R. Zieler G
3 D. Aogo M
35 M. Kamiński D
5 T. Baumgartl D
21 B. Pavard D
20 C. Gentner M
19 C. Akolo F
31 B. Özcan F
6 S. Ascacíbar M
27 M. Gómez F
14 A. Donis F
Bench (7)
33 D. Ginczek
2 E. Insúa
28 H. Badstuber
23 O. Mangala
24 D. Burnic
26 A. Meyer
32 A. Beck

Coach: H. Wolf

Hertha

4-2-3-1
22 R. Jarstein G
21 M. Plattenhardt D
5 N. Stark D
8 S. Kalou M
3 P. Skjelbred M
28 F. Lustenberger M
11 M. Leckie M
23 M. Weiser D
20 V. Lazaro M
26 A. Maier M
27 D. Selke F
Bench (7)
19 V. Ibišević
10 O. Duda
1 T. Kraft
2 P. Pekarík
6 V. Darida
15 S. Langkamp
17 M. Mittelstädt

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Felix Brych · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.