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La Liga
Referee: Isidro Díaz de Mera
Eibar
T T U T T
1–1
Full-time
Valladolid
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 18%
18%
18%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
36%
41%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 17. · Valladolid 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 21 17 3 1 +31 54
2 Real Madrid 22 14 4 4 +20 46
3 Sevilla 22 14 3 5 +16 45
4 Barcelona 21 13 4 4 +24 43
5 Villarreal 22 8 12 2 +9 36
6 Sociedad 22 9 8 5 +16 35
7 Betis 22 9 3 10 -8 30
8 Granada 23 8 6 9 -11 30
9 Celta 23 7 8 8 -5 29
10 Levante 21 6 9 6 +0 27
11 Ath Bilbao 21 7 4 10 +2 25
12 Valencia 22 5 9 8 -2 24
13 Getafe 22 6 6 10 -11 24
14 Cadiz 22 6 6 10 -15 24
15 Osasuna 22 5 7 10 -10 22
16 Alaves 22 5 7 10 -10 22
17 Eibar 22 4 8 10 -7 20
18 Valladolid 22 4 8 10 -12 20
19 Elche 21 3 9 9 -12 18
20 Huesca 23 2 10 11 -15 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Valladolid
7′
Roque Mesa 0–1
1–1 Kike
Bryan Gil
23′
Rafa Soares 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–1
Alejandro Pozo 🟨
63′
Cote 🔁
↦ Rafa
64′
68′
🔁 K. Kodro
↦ S. Weissman
74′
🔁 S. Janko
↦ Jota
79′
🟨 Kike Pérez
Y. Muto 🔁
↦ Kike
79′
85′
🟨 Lucas Olaza
89′
🔁 Míchel
↦ Roque Mesa
90′
🟨 Fabián Orellana
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Eibar

4-4-2
1 M. Dmitrović G
23 Arbilla D
4 Paulo Oliveira D
11 Rafa D
8 P. Diop M
14 T. Inui M
22 Alejandro Pozo D
10 Edu Expósito M
17 Kike F
9 Sergi Enrich F
25 Bryan Gil M
Bench (10)
15 Cote
12 Y. Muto
19 Aleix García
3 Bigas
21 Pedro León
18 Recio
2 E. Burgos
6 Sergio Álvarez
7 Quique González
13 Yoel

Coach: Mendilibar

Valladolid

4-4-2
1 Jordi Masip G
6 Bruno D
25 L. Olaza D
2 Luis Pérez D
30 Miguel Rubio D
12 F. Orellana M
17 Roque Mesa M
8 Kike Pérez M
7 Sergi Guardiola F
9 S. Weissman F
40 Jota M
Bench (9)
3 K. Kodro
18 S. Janko
21 Míchel
23 Waldo Rubio
29 Oriol Rey
27 Kuki
22 Nacho Martínez
19 Toni Villa
13 Roberto Jiménez

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,00
U ✓
3,30
B
4,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,44
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Isidro Díaz de Mera · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.