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Ligue 2
Caen
T T T U U
1–0
Full-time
Niort
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Niort
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
46%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

12 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
3 Corners 2
19 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 11. · Niort 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 24 14 6 4 +16 48
2 Toulouse 24 13 7 4 +16 46
3 Grenoble 24 13 5 6 +13 44
4 Clermont 24 12 7 5 +19 43
5 Auxerre 25 11 8 6 +17 41
6 Paris FC 24 10 7 7 +5 37
7 Valenciennes 24 9 8 7 +5 35
8 Sochaux 24 7 11 6 +7 32
9 Amiens 24 8 8 8 +1 32
10 Ajaccio 24 8 8 8 -5 32
11 Caen 24 7 9 8 -5 30
12 Le Havre 24 7 9 8 -7 30
13 Niort 24 7 9 8 -9 30
14 Rodez 24 5 12 7 -7 27
15 Dunkerque 24 7 5 12 -10 26
16 Nancy 24 5 10 9 -5 25
17 Guingamp 25 4 12 9 -7 24
18 Chambly 24 5 8 11 -15 23
19 Pau FC 24 5 5 14 -15 20
20 Chateauroux 24 4 6 14 -14 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,18
U
3,09
B
3,45
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,17
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.