Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Asane
Kongsvinger
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lillestrom
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 | +66 | 77 |
| 2 |
Start
|
29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +20 | 52 |
| 3 |
Aalesund
|
27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | +25 | 51 |
| 4 |
Kongsvinger
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 50 |
| 5 |
Lyn
|
29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | +14 | 47 |
| 6 |
Egersund
|
27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +12 | 46 |
| 7 |
Sogndal
|
29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 43 |
| 8 |
Ranheim
|
28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 42 |
| 9 |
Odd
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -10 | 33 |
| 10 |
hodd
|
29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -18 | 32 |
| 11 |
Stabaek
|
29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 |
Asane
|
29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -15 | 30 |
| 13 |
Raufoss
|
29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | -13 | 29 |
| 14 |
Moss
|
29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -24 | 27 |
| 15 |
Mjondalen
|
29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -34 | 25 |
| 16 |
Skeid
|
29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | -34 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Aalesund
Asane
Asane
Start
Stabaek
Asane
hodd
Asane
Asane
Mjondalen
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.