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Premier League
Referee: C Pawson
Sunderland
S T S S U
2–2
Full-time
Arsenal
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
0,8
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 65%
50%
80%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
30%
30%
Both score Ø 30%
40%
20%
Average goals
2,0
2,1
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,44 xG 1,91
35% Possession 65%
6 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sunderland 5. · Arsenal 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Arsenal 10 8 1 1 +15 +11.7 25
2 Man City 10 6 1 3 +12 +8.2 19
3 Tottenham 11 5 3 3 +9 -4.2 18
4 Liverpool 10 6 0 4 +4 +4.9 18
5 Sunderland 10 5 3 2 +4 -1.4 18
6 Bournemouth 10 5 3 2 +3 -1.6 18
7 Man United 11 5 3 3 +1 +1.7 18
8 Chelsea 10 5 2 3 +7 +3.8 17
9 Crystal Palace 10 4 4 2 +5 +6.2 16
10 Brighton 10 4 3 3 +2 +4.0 15
11 Everton 11 4 3 4 -1 -0.8 15
12 Aston Villa 10 4 3 3 -1 -5.2 15
13 Brentford 10 4 1 5 -2 +1.2 13
14 Newcastle 10 3 3 4 -1 +3.7 12
15 Fulham 11 3 2 6 -4 -3.8 11
16 Leeds 10 3 2 5 -8 +0.1 11
17 Burnley 11 3 1 7 -8 -15.7 10
18 West Ham 11 3 1 7 -10 -4.3 10
19 Nott'm Forest 10 1 3 6 -12 -4.8 6
20 Wolves 10 0 2 8 -15 -3.5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sunderland Arsenal
36′
🟨 Martín Zubimendi
1–0 D. Ballard
N. Mukiele
36′
Half-time 1–0
Granit Xhaka 🟨
46′
54′
B. Saka 1–1
M. Merino
B. Brobbey 🔁
↦ W. Isidor
63′
C. Talbi 🔁
↦ B. Traore
64′
S. Adingra 🔁
↦ E. Le Fee
64′
Reinildo Mandava 🟨
72′
74′
L. Trossard 1–2
M. Zubimendi
E. Mayenda 🔁
↦ L. Geertruida
87′
88′
🔁 C. Mosquera
↦ E. Eze
2–2 B. Brobbey
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sunderland

5-4-1
22 R. Roefs G
32 T. Hume D
20 N. Mukiele D
5 D. Ballard D
6 L. Geertruida D
17 R. Mandava D
25 B. Traore M
34 G. Xhaka M
27 N. Sadiki M
28 E. Le Fee M
18 W. Isidor F
Bench (9)
1 A. Patterson
26 A. Masuaku
9 B. Brobbey
7 C. Talbi
11 C. Rigg
13 L. O'Nien
4 D. Neil
24 S. Adingra
12 E. Mayenda

Coach: Regis Le Bris

Arsenal

4-2-3-1
1 D. Raya G
12 J. Timber D
2 W. Saliba D
6 Gabriel D
33 R. Calafiori D
36 M. Zubimendi M
41 D. Rice M
7 B. Saka M
10 E. Eze M
19 L. Trossard M
23 M. Merino F
Bench (9)
13 K. Arrizabalaga
4 B. White
5 P. Hincapie
22 E. Nwaneri
49 M. Lewis-Skelly
3 C. Mosquera
56 M. Dowman
71 A. Harriman-Annous
16 C. Norgaard

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,39
U ✓
4,67
B
1,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Pawson · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.