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Serie A

Referee: D Chiffi

Milan

S S T U S

1–0

Full-time

Sampdoria

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 46%

67%

25%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

58%

71%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

2,0

1,4

Conceded

1,1

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

15 Shots 4

7 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 0

2 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 3. · Sampdoria 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	24	16	6	2	+35	54
2	Napoli	25	16	5	4	+29	53
3	Milan	24	16	4	4	+23	52
4	Juventus	24	13	6	5	+15	45
5	Atalanta	23	12	7	4	+17	43
6	Lazio	25	12	6	7	+13	42
7	Roma	24	12	3	9	+10	39
8	Fiorentina	23	11	3	9	+8	36
9	Verona	24	9	6	9	+3	33
10	Torino	24	9	5	10	+6	32
11	Empoli	24	8	6	10	-10	30
12	Sassuolo	24	7	8	9	-3	29
13	Bologna	24	8	4	12	-11	28
14	Spezia	24	7	5	12	-18	26
15	Udinese	22	5	9	8	-6	24
16	Sampdoria	24	6	5	13	-8	23
17	Venezia	24	5	6	13	-21	21
18	Cagliari	24	4	8	12	-21	20
19	Genoa	24	1	11	12	-25	14
20	Salernitana	22	3	3	16	-36	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	12	9	2	1	+20	29
2	Napoli	13	8	2	3	+14	26
3	Lazio	12	7	4	1	+15	25
4	Torino	13	7	3	3	+12	24
5	Roma	13	7	3	3	+5	24
6	Milan	12	7	2	3	+9	23
7	Juventus	12	7	2	3	+8	23
8	Fiorentina	11	7	1	3	+14	22
9	Verona	12	6	2	4	+6	20
10	Bologna	12	5	2	5	+0	17
11	Udinese	11	3	5	3	-3	14
12	Atalanta	11	3	4	4	+2	13
13	Sassuolo	12	3	4	5	-4	13
14	Spezia	11	3	3	5	-2	12
15	Sampdoria	13	3	3	7	-5	12
16	Cagliari	12	2	5	5	-6	11
17	Empoli	12	3	1	8	-14	10
18	Venezia	12	2	3	7	-10	9
19	Genoa	11	0	5	6	-10	5
20	Salernitana	11	1	2	8	-19	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	12	9	3	0	+15	30
2	Milan	12	9	2	1	+14	29
3	Napoli	12	8	3	1	+15	27
4	Inter	12	7	4	1	+15	25
5	Juventus	12	6	4	2	+7	22
6	Empoli	12	5	5	2	+4	20
7	Lazio	13	5	2	6	-2	17
8	Sassuolo	12	4	4	4	+1	16
9	Roma	11	5	0	6	+5	15
10	Fiorentina	12	4	2	6	-6	14
11	Spezia	13	4	2	7	-16	14
12	Verona	12	3	4	5	-3	13
13	Venezia	12	3	3	6	-11	12
14	Sampdoria	11	3	2	6	-3	11
15	Bologna	12	3	2	7	-11	11
16	Udinese	11	2	4	5	-3	10
17	Genoa	13	1	6	6	-15	9
18	Cagliari	12	2	3	7	-15	9
19	Torino	11	2	2	7	-6	8
20	Salernitana	11	2	1	8	-17	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.