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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Uğurlu
Kasimpasa
S S S S T
2–2
Full-time
Alanyaspor
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Alanyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
2,2
2,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,7
This season — Süper Lig · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 38%
29%
46%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
46%
46%
Both score Ø 56%
58%
54%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
22 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kasimpasa 15. · Alanyaspor 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 24 17 6 1 +25 57
2 Konyaspor 23 14 6 3 +19 48
3 Ad. Demirspor 24 11 7 6 +12 40
4 Buyuksehyr 24 12 4 8 +11 40
5 Fenerbahce 25 11 7 7 +8 40
6 Alanyaspor 24 11 6 7 +8 39
7 Besiktas 24 10 7 7 +4 37
8 Hatayspor 24 11 3 10 -3 36
9 Gaziantep 24 10 5 9 +1 35
10 Kayserispor 25 9 8 8 +0 35
11 Sivasspor 25 8 10 7 +3 34
12 Karagumruk 25 9 6 10 -9 33
13 Galatasaray 25 7 8 10 -5 29
14 Antalyaspor 25 7 7 11 -8 28
15 Kasimpasa 24 7 6 11 -2 27
16 Goztep 24 7 6 11 -5 27
17 Giresunspor 25 7 5 13 -5 26
18 Rizespor 25 6 5 14 -20 23
19 Altay 25 6 4 15 -12 22
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 24 4 4 16 -22 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kasimpasa Alanyaspor
Tarkan Serbest 🟨
21′
42′
Wilson Eduardo 0–1
Haspolat Doğucan 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Efkan Bekiroğlu
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 N. Milunović
↦ E. Aydoğan
46′
🔁 C. Borja
↦ A. Gülay
46′
🔁 U. Güneş
↦ Ç. Erciyas
A. Mabil 🔁
↦ A. Engin
58′
J. Muleka 🔁
↦ R. Aabid
59′
64′
🔁 T. Bingöl
↦ Wilson Eduardo
1–1 M. Fall
J. Muleka
65′
2–1 J. Muleka
E. Elmalı
68′
71′
🔁 F. Diédhiou
↦ O. Aydın
74′
E. Bekiroglu 2–2
T. Bingöl
M. Trávník 🔁
↦ U. Bozok
82′
Florent Hadergjonaj 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Kasimpasa

4-1-4-1
1 E. Taşkıran G
4 R. Donk D
94 F. Hadërgjonaj D
18 E. Elmalı D
15 T. Serbest D
10 H. Hajradinović M
17 A. Engin M
9 R. Aabid M
34 D. Haspolat M
70 M. Fall M
19 U. Bozok F
Bench (8)
45 A. Mabil
40 J. Muleka
7 M. Trávník
93 U. Spajić
23 H. Tekin
22 E. Canpolat
25 T. Břečka
26 M. Yıldırım

Coach: Ü. Şengül

Alanyaspor

4-1-4-1
28 Marafona G
20 F. Aksoy D
35 F. Bayır D
3 A. Gülay D
39 Ç. Erciyas D
21 Candeias M
18 João Novais M
16 E. Aydoğan M
11 E. Bekiroglu M
17 Wilson Eduardo F
70 O. Aydın M
Bench (10)
19 N. Milunović
31 C. Borja
6 U. Güneş
75 T. Bingöl
14 F. Diédhiou
4 L. Fer
25 M. Mevlja
9 E. Yardımcı
15 C. Awaziem
1 S. Kırıntılı

Coach: Felipe Sánchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,49
U ✓
3,32
B
2,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,98
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Y Uğurlu · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.