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Europa League
Referee: M Balakin
Sp Braga
S U U S S
2–1
Full-time
SK Rapid
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
0,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 88%
75%
100%
Points per game
2,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
2,3
2,8
Conceded
0,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Sp Braga SK Rapid
4′
🟥 Lukas Grgić
8′
🔁 M. Oswald
↦ D. Beljo
Gabri Martínez 🔁
↦ Bruma
23′
25′
G. Burgstaller 0–1
M. Seidl
Vítor Carvalho 🟨
31′
1–1 Vitor Carvalho
R. Zalazar
33′
Half-time 1–1
47′
🟨 Jonas Antonius Auer
Robson Bambu 🟨
59′
André Horta 🔁
↦ Roger Fernandes
61′
Roberto Fernández 🔁
↦ A. El Ouazzani
61′
2–1 R. Zalazar
André Horta
71′
74′
🔁 F. Dursun
↦ G. Burgstaller
74′
🔁 L. Schaub
↦ M. Seidl
77′
🟨 Louis Schaub
84′
🔁 M. Hofmann
↦ I. Jansson
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-3-3
1 Matheus G
2 Víctor Gómez D
26 B. Arrey-Mbi D
3 Robson Bambu D
19 Adrián Marín D
11 Roger Fernandes M
16 R. Zalazar M
6 Vitor Carvalho M
21 Ricardo Horta M
9 A. El Ouazzani F
7 Bruma M
Bench (12)
77 Gabri Martínez
10 André Horta
90 Roberto Fernández
22 T. Helguera
91 L. Horníček
33 João Marques
17 J. Mendes
12 Tiago Sá
55 Francisco Chissumba
29 J. Gorby
53 Jonatás Noro
5 S. Saatçı

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
45 N. Hedl G
77 B. Bolla M
55 N. Cvetković D
6 S. Raux-Yao D
23 J. Auer D
17 M. Sangaré M
8 L. Grgić M
18 M. Seidl M
9 G. Burgstaller F
22 I. Jansson F
7 D. Beljo F
Bench (12)
28 M. Oswald
66 F. Dursun
21 L. Schaub
20 M. Hofmann
51 B. Göschl
3 B. Böckle
10 C. Lang
5 R. Kerschbaum
47 A. Gröller
53 D. Vincze
24 D. Kaygin
25 P. Gartler

Coach: R. Klauß

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Balakin · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.