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Bundesliga
Referee: H Lechner
Hartberg
T S U U U
5–0
Full-time
Tirol
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 28%
22%
33%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
63%
59%
Both score Ø 59%
59%
59%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hartberg 10. · Tirol 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 27 19 7 1 +41 64
2 Sturm Graz 27 17 6 4 +24 57
3 LASK 27 13 10 4 +17 49
4 SK Rapid 27 11 5 11 +6 38
5 Austria Vienna 27 10 8 9 +4 38
6 A. Lustenau 27 10 7 10 -6 37
7 Tirol 27 9 6 12 -4 33
8 A. Klagenfurt 27 10 3 14 -15 33
9 Wolfsberger AC 28 9 5 14 -5 32
10 Hartberg 27 6 6 15 -19 24
11 Altach 28 5 8 15 -24 23
12 Ried 27 4 9 14 -19 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hartberg Tirol
1–0 R. Providence
D. Frieser
6′
1–1 F. Bacher
own goal
9′
28′
🟨 Osarenren Okungbowa
2–1 R. Providence
D. Prokop
34′
38′
🟨 Osarenren Okungbowa
38′
🟥 Osarenren Okungbowa
3–1 D. Avdijaj
39′
40′
🔁 R. Behounek
↦ T. Prica
40′
🔁 A. Ranacher
↦ Ž. Rogelj
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 S. Skrbo
↦ J. Ertlthaler
56′
🔁 D. Tomic
↦ J. Naschberger
O. Diakité 🔁
↦ M. Sangaré
59′
Ousmane Diakité 🟨
60′
4–1 D. Prokop
T. Kainz
65′
M. Horvat 🔁
↦ T. Kainz
72′
L. Fadinger 🔁
↦ D. Frieser
72′
C. Klem 🔁
↦ M. Pfeifer
72′
78′
🔁 J. Forst
↦ T. Sabitzer
R. Kriwak 🔁
↦ R. Providence
80′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Hartberg

4-4-2
35 R. Sallinger G
28 J. Heil D
16 M. Sonnleitner D
12 M. Steinwender D
20 M. Pfeifer D
10 D. Avdijaj M
33 D. Frieser M
23 T. Kainz M
45 M. Sangaré M
70 R. Providence F
27 D. Prokop F
Bench (7)
32 O. Diakité
11 M. Horvat
8 L. Fadinger
14 C. Klem
39 R. Kriwak
5 M. Gollner
40 F. Ehmann

Coach: M. Schopp

Tirol

4-4-2
25 F. Oswald G
21 Ž. Rogelj D
5 F. Bacher D
16 O. Okungbowa D
44 K. Schulz D
6 L. Sulzbacher M
17 J. Naschberger M
10 B. Blume M
77 J. Ertlthaler M
7 T. Sabitzer F
33 T. Prica F
Bench (7)
30 R. Behounek
14 A. Ranacher
23 S. Skrbo
18 D. Tomic
19 J. Forst
13 B. Ozegovic
26 D. Štumberger

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Lechner · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.