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Champions League
Referee: D Siebert
Salzburg
U S U S S
1–3
Full-time
Benfica
S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 30%
20%
40%
Average goals
1,6
2,8
Scored
0,6
0,8
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,72 xG 2,96
44% Possession 56%
19 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 6
4 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Sep -23 Benfica – Salzburg 0–2

Match report

Salzburg Benfica
Lucas Gourna-Douath 🟨
10′
32′
⚽ Á. Di María 0–1
34′
ℹ️ Ángel Di María
VAR: Goal confirmed
Half-time 0–2
46′
⚽ Rafa 0–2
Á. Di María
46′
🔁 P. Musa
↦ C. Tengstedt
49′
🟨 Felipe Morato
Petar Ratkov 🟨
51′
Fernando 🔁
↦ P. Ratkov
55′
S. Koïta 🔁
↦ N. Dorgeles
55′
1–2 L. Sučić ⚽
O. Gloukh
57′
68′
🔁 Gonçalo Guedes
↦ O. Kökçü
72′
🟨 Petar Musa
Dijon Kameri 🟨
82′
D. Kameri 🔁
↦ O. Gloukh
82′
Alexander Schlager 🟨
90′
91′
🔁 Arthur Cabral
↦ João Mário
92′
⚽ Arthur Cabral 1–3
F. Aursnes
94′
🔁 Florentino
↦ Rafa
R. Šimić 🔁
↦ M. Bidstrup
95′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
24 A. Schlager G
6 S. Baidoo D
4 K. Piątkowski D
31 S. Pavlović D
70 A. Dedić D
18 M. Bidstrup M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
10 L. Sučić M
30 O. Gloukh M
45 N. Dorgeles F
21 P. Ratkov F
Bench (12)
11 Fernando
20 S. Koïta
8 D. Kameri
23 R. Šimić
1 N. Mantl
15 M. Diambou
39 L. Morgalla
41 J. Krumrey
17 A. Ulmer
19 K. Konaté
5 B. Okoh
32 A. Forson

Coach: G. Struber

Benfica

4-2-3-1
1 A. Trubin G
8 F. Aursnes D
44 Tomás Araújo D
30 N. Otamendi D
5 Morato D
87 João Neves M
10 O. Kökçü M
11 Á. Di María M
27 Rafa M
20 João Mário M
19 C. Tengstedt F
Bench (10)
33 P. Musa
17 Gonçalo Guedes
61 Florentino
9 Arthur Cabral
24 Samuel Soares
47 Tiago Gouveia
13 D. Jurásek
38 João Victor
45 L. Kokubo
22 Chiquinho

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.