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Bundesliga

Referee: M Hameter

Austria Vienna

U T T S T

1–0

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

22%

56%

Points per game

0,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

78%

44%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

12 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

23 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Austria Vienna 9. · Sturm Graz 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	10	9	1	0	+37	28
2	LASK	10	7	2	1	+12	23
3	Wolfsberger AC	10	7	1	2	+17	22
4	SK Rapid	10	6	2	2	+9	20
5	Sturm Graz	9	5	1	3	+6	16
6	Hartberg	10	3	3	4	-3	12
7	Mattersburg	10	3	1	6	-11	10
8	Tirol	10	2	3	5	-7	9
9	Austria Vienna	9	2	2	5	-7	8
10	Altach	10	2	1	7	-10	7
11	St. Polten	10	1	3	6	-23	6
12	Admira	10	1	2	7	-20	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	6	6	0	0	+25	18
2	Wolfsberger AC	6	4	1	1	+14	13
3	Sturm Graz	5	3	0	2	+5	9
4	Altach	5	2	1	2	+4	7
5	SK Rapid	5	2	1	2	+3	7
6	Hartberg	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	LASK	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	Austria Vienna	4	1	1	2	-3	4
9	Admira	5	1	1	3	-4	4
10	Tirol	4	1	1	2	-4	4
11	Mattersburg	6	1	1	4	-7	4
12	St. Polten	4	0	1	3	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	SK Rapid	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Salzburg	4	3	1	0	+12	10
4	Wolfsberger AC	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Sturm Graz	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Mattersburg	4	2	0	2	-4	6
7	Tirol	6	1	2	3	-3	5
8	Hartberg	5	1	2	2	-4	5
9	St. Polten	6	1	2	3	-12	5
10	Austria Vienna	5	1	1	3	-4	4
11	Admira	5	0	1	4	-16	1
12	Altach	5	0	0	5	-14	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.