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Bundesliga

Referee: R Eisner

Hartberg

T T S T S

1–2

Full-time

Sturm Graz

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,7

3,2

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

3,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-1,5

This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 38%

40%

36%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

84%

56%

Both score Ø 60%

68%

52%

Average goals

4,0

3,1

Scored

1,7

1,6

Conceded

2,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

11 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hartberg 5. · Sturm Graz 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	25	17	6	2	+60	57
2	LASK	25	17	4	4	+28	55
3	SK Rapid	25	13	7	5	+24	46
4	Wolfsberger AC	25	12	6	7	+22	42
5	Hartberg	25	10	5	10	-17	35
6	Sturm Graz	25	9	5	11	+0	32
7	Austria Vienna	26	7	11	8	-1	32
8	Altach	26	9	5	12	-6	32
9	Tirol	26	6	6	14	-26	24
10	Mattersburg	26	6	5	15	-27	23
11	Admira	26	5	7	14	-24	22
12	St. Polten	26	4	9	13	-33	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	12	10	1	1	+33	31
2	LASK	13	6	3	4	+10	21
3	Wolfsberger AC	13	5	4	4	+10	19
4	SK Rapid	12	5	4	3	+10	19
5	Austria Vienna	13	5	4	4	+2	19
6	Altach	13	5	3	5	+1	18
7	Hartberg	12	5	3	4	-4	18
8	Sturm Graz	13	4	2	7	-4	14
9	Admira	13	2	3	8	-13	9
10	Tirol	13	2	3	8	-20	9
11	St. Polten	13	1	5	7	-21	8
12	Mattersburg	13	1	3	9	-18	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	12	11	1	0	+18	34
2	SK Rapid	13	8	3	2	+14	27
3	Salzburg	13	7	5	1	+27	26
4	Wolfsberger AC	12	7	2	3	+12	23
5	Sturm Graz	12	5	3	4	+4	18
6	Mattersburg	13	5	2	6	-9	17
7	Hartberg	13	5	2	6	-13	17
8	Tirol	13	4	3	6	-6	15
9	Altach	13	4	2	7	-7	14
10	Austria Vienna	13	2	7	4	-3	13
11	Admira	13	3	4	6	-11	13
12	St. Polten	13	3	4	6	-12	13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.