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Bundesliga

Referee: Sven Jablonski

M'gladbach

T S S T S

1–1

Full-time

Mainz

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 40%

50%

30%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 55%

60%

50%

Average goals

3,4

2,7

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%

9 Shots 20

3 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 9

2 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 7. · Mainz 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	7	2	1	+17	23
2	Dortmund	10	6	2	2	+16	20
3	RB Leipzig	10	6	1	3	+4	19
4	Hannover	10	5	3	2	+5	18
5	Ein Frankfurt	11	5	3	3	+2	18
6	Schalke 04	10	5	2	3	+3	17
7	M'gladbach	10	5	2	3	-2	17
8	Hoffenheim	10	4	4	2	+3	16
9	Leverkusen	10	4	3	3	+7	15
10	Augsburg	10	4	3	3	+5	15
11	Hertha	10	3	4	3	-1	13
12	Stuttgart	10	4	1	5	-2	13
13	Mainz	10	3	2	5	-5	11
14	Wolfsburg	10	1	7	2	-3	10
15	Freiburg	10	1	5	4	-14	8
16	Hamburg	10	2	1	7	-10	7
17	Werder Bremen	11	0	5	6	-10	5
18	FC Koln	10	0	2	8	-15	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	5	4	1	0	+13	13
2	Stuttgart	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Leverkusen	5	3	2	0	+8	11
4	Schalke 04	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Hoffenheim	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Hertha	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	RB Leipzig	4	3	1	0	+5	10
8	Hannover	5	3	1	1	+4	10
9	Mainz	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+11	9
11	M'gladbach	5	3	0	2	-1	9
12	Augsburg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
13	Freiburg	5	1	4	0	+1	7
14	Ein Frankfurt	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Wolfsburg	5	0	4	1	-3	4
16	Hamburg	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	FC Koln	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Werder Bremen	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	6	3	2	1	+5	11
2	Ein Frankfurt	6	3	2	1	+2	11
3	Bayern Munich	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	RB Leipzig	6	3	0	3	-1	9
5	Augsburg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Hannover	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	M'gladbach	5	2	2	1	-1	8
8	Wolfsburg	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Schalke 04	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Hoffenheim	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Leverkusen	5	1	1	3	-1	4
12	Werder Bremen	6	0	4	2	-2	4
13	Hamburg	5	1	0	4	-5	3
14	Hertha	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Mainz	4	0	1	3	-7	1
16	FC Koln	6	0	1	5	-11	1
17	Freiburg	5	0	1	4	-15	1
18	Stuttgart	5	0	0	5	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.