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Bundesliga

Referee: Bastian Dankert

Stuttgart

T S T S U

2–2

Full-time

Union Berlin

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%

13 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	34	24	6	4	+56	78
2	Dortmund	34	23	7	4	+37	76
3	RB Leipzig	34	19	9	6	+34	66
4	Leverkusen	34	18	4	12	+17	58
5	M'gladbach	34	16	7	11	+13	55
6	Wolfsburg	34	16	7	11	+12	55
7	Ein Frankfurt	34	15	9	10	+12	54
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	11	9	+9	53
9	Hoffenheim	34	13	12	9	+18	51
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	34	13	5	16	-16	44
11	Hertha	34	11	10	13	-8	43
12	Mainz	34	12	7	15	-11	43
13	Freiburg	34	8	12	14	-15	36
14	Schalke 04	34	8	9	17	-18	33
15	Augsburg	34	8	8	18	-20	32
16	Stuttgart	34	7	7	20	-38	28
17	Hannover	34	5	6	23	-40	21
18	Nurnberg	34	3	10	21	-42	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	17	14	2	1	+27	44
2	Bayern Munich	17	13	3	1	+35	42
3	RB Leipzig	17	10	6	1	+25	36
4	Werder Bremen	17	8	6	3	+9	30
5	M'gladbach	17	9	3	5	+9	30
6	Wolfsburg	17	8	5	4	+13	29
7	Mainz	17	8	5	4	+9	29
8	Leverkusen	17	9	2	6	+7	29
9	Ein Frankfurt	17	8	4	5	+11	28
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	9	0	8	-1	27
11	Hoffenheim	17	7	5	5	+8	26
12	Freiburg	17	6	7	4	+5	25
13	Hertha	17	6	6	5	-1	24
14	Stuttgart	17	6	4	7	-5	22
15	Augsburg	17	5	4	8	+1	19
16	Nurnberg	17	3	7	7	-6	16
17	Hannover	17	5	1	11	-11	16
18	Schalke 04	17	4	3	10	-12	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	17	11	3	3	+21	36
2	Dortmund	17	9	5	3	+10	32
3	RB Leipzig	17	9	3	5	+9	30
4	Leverkusen	17	9	2	6	+10	29
5	Ein Frankfurt	17	7	5	5	+1	26
6	Wolfsburg	17	8	2	7	-1	26
7	Hoffenheim	17	6	7	4	+10	25
8	M'gladbach	17	7	4	6	+4	25
9	Werder Bremen	17	6	5	6	+0	23
10	Hertha	17	5	4	8	-7	19
11	Schalke 04	17	4	6	7	-6	18
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	4	5	8	-15	17
13	Mainz	17	4	2	11	-20	14
14	Augsburg	17	3	4	10	-21	13
15	Freiburg	17	2	5	10	-20	11
16	Stuttgart	17	1	3	13	-33	6
17	Hannover	17	0	5	12	-29	5
18	Nurnberg	17	0	3	14	-36	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.