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Ligue 2
Referee: P Gaillouste
Rodez
U U S U T
1–1
Full-time
Paris FC
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Paris FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 47%
29%
65%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
65%
52%
Both score Ø 57%
68%
45%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
19 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Rodez 14. · Paris FC 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 31 20 5 6 +30 65
2 Paris FC 31 20 4 7 +20 64
3 Metz 31 17 10 4 +30 61
4 Dunkerque 32 17 3 12 +7 54
5 Guingamp 32 16 3 13 +10 51
6 Laval 32 14 7 11 +7 49
7 Annecy 32 13 9 10 -2 48
8 Bastia 32 10 14 8 +5 44
9 Grenoble 32 12 7 13 -1 43
10 Troyes 32 12 5 15 +3 41
11 Amiens 32 12 4 16 -13 40
12 Pau FC 31 9 12 10 -11 39
13 Ajaccio 32 11 6 15 -11 39
14 Rodez 31 9 9 13 +2 36
15 Red Star 32 9 9 14 -14 36
16 Martigues 32 9 4 19 -23 31
17 Clermont 32 6 11 15 -17 29
18 Caen 31 5 6 20 -22 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Paris FC
R. Lipinski 🔁
↦ É. Vandenabeele
28′
36′
V. Marchetti 0–1
Mory Diaw 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–1
Ibrahima Baldé 🟨
54′
59′
🔁 J. López
↦ M. Cafaro
59′
🔁 J. Krasso
↦ N. Dicko
T. Bentayeb 🔁
↦ I. Baldé
64′
Wilitty Younoussa 🟨
65′
W. Younoussa 🔁
↦ A. Trouillet
65′
71′
🔁 M. Tourraine
↦ A. Gory
71′
🔁 L. Doucet
↦ V. Marchetti
76′
🟨 Julien López
77′
🔁 M. Kanté
↦ P. Hamel
1–1 T. Bentayeb
78′
M. Bouchouari 🔁
↦ W. Taïbi
81′
D. Mazou-Sacko 🔁
↦ A. Abdallah
81′
83′
🟨 Lohann Doucet
94′
🟨 Julien López
94′
🟥 Julien López
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rodez

5-3-2
99 M. Diaw G
25 N. Galves D
6 A. Ngouyamsa D
2 É. Vandenabeele D
15 T. Cissokho D
28 A. Abdallah D
27 A. Trouillet M
5 N. Cadiou M
10 W. Taïbi M
9 T. Nkada F
18 I. Baldé F
Bench (7)
3 R. Lipinski
22 T. Bentayeb
8 W. Younoussa
11 M. Bouchouari
19 D. Mazou-Sacko
16 L. Mpasi
26 Y. Verdier

Coach: D. Santini

Paris FC

4-2-3-1
16 O. Nkambadio G
31 S. Chergui D
5 M. Mbow D
15 T. Kolodziejczak D
28 T. De Smet D
4 V. Marchetti M
21 M. Lopez M
7 A. Gory M
12 N. Dicko M
13 M. Cafaro M
29 P. Hamel F
Bench (7)
20 J. López
11 J. Krasso
39 M. Tourraine
8 L. Doucet
19 M. Kanté
2 T. Ollila
1 R. Riou

Coach: S. Gilli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,97
U ✓
3,30
B
2,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Gaillouste · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.