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Ekstraklasa
Referee: K Arys
GKS Katowice
T S T S S
1–3
Full-time
Legia
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GKS Katowice Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 43%
41%
45%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
52%
55%
Both score Ø 56%
45%
66%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,17 xG 3,87
47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 22
6 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match GKS Katowice 8. · Legia 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Rakow 30 18 8 4 +26 +9.9 62
2 Lech Poznan 29 19 2 8 +28 +11.3 59
3 Jagiellonia 29 16 7 6 +15 +2.1 55
4 Pogon Szczecin 30 16 5 9 +18 +16.0 53
5 Legia 29 13 8 8 +14 +12.7 47
6 Cracovia 30 12 9 9 +5 -5.7 45
7 Motor Lublin 30 12 7 11 -7 -0.3 43
8 GKS Katowice 29 12 6 11 +3 +1.5 42
9 Gornik Zabrze 29 12 5 12 +4 +5.8 41
10 Piast Gliwice 30 9 11 10 -3 -3.9 38
11 Korona Kielce 29 9 10 10 -10 +0.7 37
12 Widzew Lodz 29 10 6 13 -9 -6.3 36
13 Radomiak Radom 29 10 5 14 -5 -0.9 35
14 Zaglebie 29 9 5 15 -15 -6.4 32
15 Lechia Gdansk 30 8 6 16 -17 -17.5 30
16 Puszcza 30 6 9 15 -16 -16.8 27
17 Slask Wroclaw 30 5 10 15 -15 -0.6 25
18 Stal Mielec 29 6 7 16 -16 -1.7 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Oct -24 Legia – GKS Katowice 4–1

Match report

GKS Katowice Legia
15′
Claude Gonçalves 0–1
K. Gruszkowski 🔁
↦ M. Wasielewski
16′
17′
I. Shkurin 0–2
Half-time 0–2
D. Drachal 🔁
↦ A. Błąd
63′
1–2 F. Szymczak
Borja Galán
63′
65′
🟨 Jan Ziółkowski
66′
🔁 Marc Gual
↦ Luquinhas
67′
🔁 K. Chodyna
↦ J. Elitim
71′
🔁 R. Pankov
↦ J. Ziółkowski
72′
🟨 Maxi Oyedele
78′
🔁 R. Augustyniak
↦ M. Oyedele
79′
🔁 V. Bichakhchyan
↦ I. Shkurin
M. Kuusk 🔁
↦ L. Klemenz
80′
M. Marzec 🔁
↦ F. Szymczak
80′
93′
Marc Gual 1–3
K. Chodyna
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

GKS Katowice

3-4-3
1 D. Kudła G
30 A. Czerwiński D
4 A. Jędrych D
6 L. Klemenz D
23 M. Wasielewski M
5 O. Repka M
77 M. Kowalczyk M
8 Borja Galán M
11 A. Błąd F
19 F. Szymczak F
27 B. Nowak F
Bench (9)
24 K. Gruszkowski
18 D. Drachal
2 M. Kuusk
17 M. Marzec
25 Ł. Trepka
13 B. Jaroszek
14 A. Komor
32 R. Strączek
21 B. Baranowicz

Coach: R. Górak

Legia

4-3-3
1 K. Tobiasz G
23 P. Kun D
24 J. Ziółkowski D
3 S. Kapuadi D
19 Rúben Vinagre D
22 J. Elitim M
6 M. Oyedele M
5 Claude Gonçalves M
25 R. Morishita F
17 I. Shkurin F
82 Luquinhas F
Bench (9)
28 Marc Gual
11 K. Chodyna
12 R. Pankov
8 R. Augustyniak
21 V. Bichakhchyan
53 W. Urbański
77 V. Kovačević
7 T. Pekhart
55 A. Jędrzejczyk

Coach: Gonçalo Feio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Arys · 61 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.