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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Kilmarnock
T U T S T
2–0
Full-time
Ross County
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Ross County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,8
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
2,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
45%
58%
Both score Ø 45%
48%
42%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 9. · Ross County 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 34 27 3 4 +80 84
2 Rangers 33 20 6 7 +33 66
3 Hibernian 33 14 11 8 +13 53
4 Aberdeen 33 14 8 11 -4 50
5 Dundee United 34 14 8 12 -4 50
6 St Mirren 33 12 5 16 -9 41
7 Hearts 33 11 7 15 -1 40
8 Motherwell 33 11 6 16 -19 39
9 Kilmarnock 33 9 8 16 -20 35
10 Ross County 33 9 8 16 -23 35
11 Dundee 33 9 7 17 -21 34
12 ST Johnstone 33 8 5 20 -25 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Mar -25 Ross County – Kilmarnock 1–0 5. Jan -25 Kilmarnock – Ross County 0–1 26. Oct -24 Ross County – Kilmarnock 2–1 6. Apr -24 Kilmarnock – Ross County 1–0 25. Nov -23 Ross County – Kilmarnock 0–0

Match report

Kilmarnock Ross County
1–0 B. Anderson ⚽
D. Armstrong
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Efete
↦ K. Łopata
53′
🔁 A. Samuel
↦ N. Kenneh
57′
🟨 Michee Efete
59′
🔁 J. Nisbet
↦ S. Allardice
65′
🟨 Elijah Campbell
2–0 L. Donnelly ⚽
B. Anderson
69′
76′
🔁 K. Phillips
↦ Z. Ashworth
C. Ramsay 🔁
↦ D. Armstrong
80′
M. Watkins 🔁
↦ B. Anderson
80′
R. McKenzie 🔁
↦ F. Murray
87′
I. Cameron 🔁
↦ B. Wales
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
1 K. O'Hara G
5 L. Mayo D
6 R. Deas D
17 S. Findlay D
3 C. Ndaba D
11 D. Armstrong M
22 L. Donnelly M
12 D. Watson M
24 B. Wales M
15 F. Murray F
19 B. Anderson F
Bench (8)
21 C. Ramsay
23 M. Watkins
7 R. McKenzie
18 I. Cameron
31 L. Polworth
20 R. McCrorie
9 K. Vassell
14 G. Mackay-Steven

Coach: D. McInnes

Ross County

3-1-4-2
18 J. Amissah G
12 J. Tomkinson D
20 K. Łopata D
19 E. Campbell D
6 S. Allardice M
4 A. Wright M
8 C. Randall M
42 N. Kenneh M
15 Z. Ashworth M
26 J. White F
9 R. Hale F
Bench (9)
24 M. Efete
25 A. Samuel
23 J. Nisbet
11 K. Phillips
30 D. Smith
31 L. Ross
16 G. Harmon
14 J. Grieves
2 J. Brown

Coach: D. Cowie

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,61
🔒
U
3,74
🔒
B
5,71
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,04
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,75
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.