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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Kos

Motor Lublin

T S U T S

0–1

Full-time

Cracovia

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motor Lublin Cracovia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

3,8

4,2

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

2,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 40%

41%

38%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

55%

59%

Both score Ø 69%

59%

79%

Average goals

3,2

3,4

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,18 xG 1,02

57% Possession 43%

7 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Motor Lublin 6. · Cracovia 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	30	18	8	4	+26	+9.9	62
2	Lech Poznan	29	19	2	8	+28	+11.3	59
3	Jagiellonia	29	16	7	6	+15	+2.1	55
4	Pogon Szczecin	30	16	5	9	+18	+16.0	53
5	Legia	29	13	8	8	+14	+12.7	47
6	Motor Lublin	29	12	7	10	-6	+0.5	43
7	Cracovia	29	11	9	9	+4	-6.6	42
8	GKS Katowice	29	12	6	11	+3	+1.5	42
9	Gornik Zabrze	29	12	5	12	+4	+5.8	41
10	Piast Gliwice	30	9	11	10	-3	-3.9	38
11	Korona Kielce	29	9	10	10	-10	+0.7	37
12	Widzew Lodz	29	10	6	13	-9	-6.3	36
13	Radomiak Radom	29	10	5	14	-5	-0.9	35
14	Zaglebie	29	9	5	15	-15	-6.4	32
15	Lechia Gdansk	30	8	6	16	-17	-17.5	30
16	Puszcza	30	6	9	15	-16	-16.8	27
17	Slask Wroclaw	30	5	10	15	-15	-0.6	25
18	Stal Mielec	29	6	7	16	-16	-1.7	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	15	13	0	2	+26	+10.6	39
2	Pogon Szczecin	15	12	1	2	+19	+15.5	37
3	Jagiellonia	15	9	4	2	+14	+4.7	31
4	Legia	15	9	3	3	+15	+11.6	30
5	Rakow	15	9	3	3	+13	+6.7	30
6	GKS Katowice	14	7	4	3	+8	-1.3	25
7	Gornik Zabrze	14	7	2	5	+7	+6.4	23
8	Widzew Lodz	15	7	2	6	-1	-0.4	23
9	Motor Lublin	14	6	4	4	+3	+0.9	22
10	Stal Mielec	15	5	5	5	-1	+4.4	20
11	Korona Kielce	14	6	2	6	-2	+5.8	20
12	Lechia Gdansk	15	6	2	7	-5	-7.4	20
13	Radomiak Radom	14	5	4	5	+4	+3.7	19
14	Piast Gliwice	15	4	7	4	-2	-0.6	19
15	Cracovia	15	4	6	5	+0	-1.3	18
16	Puszcza	15	4	6	5	-2	-3.1	18
17	Zaglebie	14	5	2	7	-5	-3.4	17
18	Slask Wroclaw	15	3	6	6	-3	-0.5	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	15	9	5	1	+13	+3.2	32
2	Cracovia	14	7	3	4	+4	-5.3	24
3	Jagiellonia	14	7	3	4	+1	-2.6	24
4	Motor Lublin	15	6	3	6	-9	-0.4	21
5	Lech Poznan	14	6	2	6	+2	+0.7	20
6	Piast Gliwice	15	5	4	6	-1	-3.2	19
7	Gornik Zabrze	15	5	3	7	-3	-0.5	18
8	Legia	14	4	5	5	-1	+1.0	17
9	GKS Katowice	15	5	2	8	-5	+2.8	17
10	Korona Kielce	15	3	8	4	-8	-5.1	17
11	Pogon Szczecin	15	4	4	7	-1	+0.5	16
12	Radomiak Radom	15	5	1	9	-9	-4.5	16
13	Zaglebie	15	4	3	8	-10	-3.1	15
14	Widzew Lodz	14	3	4	7	-8	-5.9	13
15	Lechia Gdansk	15	2	4	9	-12	-10.1	10
16	Slask Wroclaw	15	2	4	9	-12	-0.1	10
17	Puszcza	15	2	3	10	-14	-13.7	9
18	Stal Mielec	14	1	2	11	-15	-6.1	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.