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Super League

Referee: F Zwayer

PAOK

U U S S T

1–2

Full-time

AEK

U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,3

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 22/21 matches

Win Ø 56%

50%

62%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

55%

38%

Both score Ø 42%

55%

29%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,0

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

10 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 8

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 4. · AEK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	23	15	5	3	+22	50
2	Panathinaikos	22	12	8	2	+10	44
3	AEK	21	13	4	4	+23	43
4	PAOK	22	11	5	6	+13	38
5	Asteras Tripolis	22	10	5	7	+5	35
6	Aris Thessalonikis	21	10	4	7	+3	34
7	Aris	21	10	4	7	+3	34
8	OFI Crete	23	9	6	8	+2	33
9	Panetolikos	21	8	5	8	+0	29
10	Atromitos	22	7	5	10	-2	26
11	Volos NFC	22	7	3	12	-17	24
12	Panserraikos	23	6	4	13	-11	22
13	Levadeiakos	22	3	9	10	-11	18
14	Athens Kallithea	23	2	9	12	-16	15
15	Lamia	22	1	6	15	-24	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	11	8	3	0	+21	27
2	Olympiakos	11	8	3	0	+13	27
3	Panathinaikos	12	7	4	1	+7	25
4	Aris Thessalonikis	10	6	2	2	+6	20
5	Aris	10	6	2	2	+6	20
6	Asteras Tripolis	11	6	1	4	+5	19
7	Panetolikos	11	5	1	5	+1	16
8	OFI Crete	11	4	3	4	+2	15
9	PAOK	11	4	2	5	+2	14
10	Panserraikos	12	3	4	5	-3	13
11	Levadeiakos	11	2	4	5	-6	10
12	Athens Kallithea	12	2	4	6	-7	10
13	Atromitos	11	2	3	6	-4	9
14	Volos NFC	10	1	2	7	-11	5
15	Lamia	11	0	3	8	-14	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	11	7	3	1	+11	24
2	Olympiakos	12	7	2	3	+9	23
3	Panathinaikos	10	5	4	1	+3	19
4	Volos NFC	12	6	1	5	-6	19
5	OFI Crete	12	5	3	4	+0	18
6	Atromitos	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	AEK	10	5	1	4	+2	16
8	Asteras Tripolis	11	4	4	3	+0	16
9	Aris Thessalonikis	11	4	2	5	-3	14
10	Aris	11	4	2	5	-3	14
11	Panetolikos	10	3	4	3	-1	13
12	Panserraikos	11	3	0	8	-8	9
13	Levadeiakos	11	1	5	5	-5	8
14	Lamia	11	1	3	7	-10	6
15	Athens Kallithea	11	0	5	6	-9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.