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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Hempel
Paderborn
T U T T S
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 34%
42%
26%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
68%
68%
Both score Ø 69%
74%
63%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,4
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paderborn 7. · Greuther Furth 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Koln 20 11 4 5 +10 37
2 Magdeburg 20 9 8 3 +12 35
3 Hamburg 19 9 7 3 +18 34
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 20 9 6 5 +7 33
5 Kaiserslautern 19 9 5 5 +6 32
6 Hannover 19 9 4 6 +6 31
7 Paderborn 19 8 7 4 +5 31
8 Karlsruhe 20 8 6 6 +1 30
9 Elversberg 20 8 5 7 +5 29
10 Nurnberg 20 8 4 8 +1 28
11 Darmstadt 20 6 7 7 +5 25
12 Hertha 20 7 4 9 -2 25
13 Schalke 04 20 6 6 8 -2 24
14 Preußen Münster 19 4 8 7 -4 20
15 Greuther Furth 19 5 5 9 -12 20
16 Ulm 20 3 8 9 -2 17
17 Braunschweig 20 3 6 11 -21 15
18 Regensburg 20 4 2 14 -33 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paderborn Greuther Furth
Calvin Brackelmann ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
10′
21′
B. Hrgota 0–1
Manuel Riemann 🟥
26′
M. Schubert 🔁
↦ C. Terho
28′
35′
🟨 Julian Green
Marcel Hoffmeier 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
Sven Michel 🟨
46′
A. Grimaldi 🔁
↦ V. Musliu
46′
47′
🟨 Dennis Srbeny
50′
N. Loosli 0–2
J. Green
60′
🔁 N. Futkeu
↦ D. Srbeny
1–2 A. Grimaldi
A. Zehnter
63′
70′
🔁 R. Massimo
↦ F. Klaus
70′
🔁 N. Gießelmann
↦ M. John
S. Castañeda 🔁
↦ M. Mehlem
72′
L. Herrmann 🔁
↦ L. Engelns
72′
I. Ansah 🔁
↦ F. Bilbija
80′
90′
🔁 S. Bansé
↦ J. Green
90′
🔁 S. Asta
↦ M. Meyerhöfer
Ilyas Ansah 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Paderborn

3-5-2
1 M. Riemann G
33 M. Hoffmeier D
16 V. Musliu D
4 C. Brackelmann D
24 C. Terho M
46 L. Engelns M
25 T. Scheller M
6 M. Mehlem M
32 A. Zehnter M
11 S. Michel F
7 F. Bilbija F
Bench (9)
30 M. Schubert
39 A. Grimaldi
5 S. Castañeda
19 L. Herrmann
29 I. Ansah
22 M. Hansen
23 R. Obermair
43 M. Ens
17 L. Curda

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Greuther Furth

3-4-2-1
44 N. Noll G
25 N. Loosli D
15 J. Quarshie D
27 G. Itter D
18 M. Meyerhöfer M
5 R. Münz M
37 J. Green M
24 M. John M
30 F. Klaus F
10 B. Hrgota F
7 D. Srbeny F
Bench (9)
9 N. Futkeu
11 R. Massimo
17 N. Gießelmann
6 S. Bansé
2 S. Asta
28 J. Mause
31 L. Grill
14 J. Consbruch
23 G. Jung

Coach: J. Siewert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,72
U
4,04
B ✓
4,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hempel · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.