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Pro League
Referee: K Van Damme
Kortrijk
T T T T U
1–2
Full-time
Westerlo
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,3
4,5
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,8
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 19/16 matches
Win Ø 18%
16%
19%
Points per game
0,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
58%
88%
Both score Ø 56%
37%
75%
Average goals
2,7
3,9
Scored
0,6
1,8
Conceded
2,1
2,1
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,21 xG 1,97
45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Kortrijk 15. · Westerlo 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Genk 16 12 2 2 +15 +17.0 38
2 Club Brugge 15 10 4 1 +22 +16.4 34
3 Anderlecht 16 9 5 2 +21 +9.2 32
4 Antwerp 15 9 5 1 +20 +2.1 32
5 St. Gilloise 16 8 6 2 +12 +14.8 30
6 Gent 17 7 7 3 +14 +0.7 28
7 Cercle Brugge 19 6 6 7 -10 -3.5 24
8 Charleroi 15 6 4 5 +2 +2.3 22
9 Standard 15 6 4 5 -7 -7.0 22
10 Dender 16 5 6 5 -2 -5.9 21
11 St Truiden 20 4 5 11 -20 -9.4 17
12 Mechelen 16 4 3 9 -5 -3.1 15
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 16 2 8 6 -5 -0.8 14
14 Westerlo 16 3 3 10 -6 -0.4 12
15 Kortrijk 19 3 2 14 -27 -13.9 11
16 Beerschot VA 19 1 6 12 -24 -18.6 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Westerlo
17′
🟨 Luka Vušković
1–0 J. Duverne
27′
G. Dewaele 🔁
↦ K. Kostons
32′
Bram Lagae 🟨
33′
36′
🟨 Bryan Reynolds
44′
🟨 Emin Bayram
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Yow
↦ A. Sayyadmanesh
47′
🟨 Islam Slimani
63′
🟨 Emin Bayram
63′
🟥 Emin Bayram
67′
J. Bos 1–1
I. Sakamoto
K. Czubak 🔁
↦ Nacho Ferri
68′
Abdelkahar Kadri 🟨
70′
76′
🔁 M. Frigan
↦ I. Slimani
T. Ambrose 🔁
↦ D. Karim
81′
Abdelkahar Kadri 🟨
82′
Abdelkahar Kadri 🟥
82′
D. De Neve 🔁
↦ B. Dejaegere
82′
86′
🔁 T. Van den Keybus
↦ A. Devine
89′
M. Frigan 1–2
G. Yow
90′
🟨 Matija Frigan
92′
🔁 R. Neustädter
↦ I. Sakamoto
Marco Ilaimaharitra 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Kortrijk

5-3-2
41 M. Ilić G
6 N. Mehssatou D
27 A. Sissako D
93 J. Duverne D
26 B. Lagae D
16 B. Dejaegere D
8 D. Karim M
23 M. Ilaimaharitra M
10 A. Kadri M
18 K. Kostons F
19 Nacho Ferri F
Bench (9)
20 G. Dewaele
9 K. Czubak
68 T. Ambrose
11 D. De Neve
4 M. Mampassi
17 M. Bruno
95 L. Pirard
32 Mouhamed Guèye II
5 J. Ndjeungoue

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Westerlo

4-2-3-1
99 A. Jungdal G
22 B. Reynolds D
40 E. Bayram D
44 L. Vušković D
25 T. Rommens D
34 D. Haspolat M
10 A. Devine M
7 A. Sayyadmanesh M
13 I. Sakamoto M
5 J. Bos M
19 I. Slimani F
Bench (8)
18 G. Yow
9 M. Frigan
39 T. Van den Keybus
33 R. Neustädter
4 M. Fixelles
30 K. Van Langendonck
15 S. Sydorchuk
17 R. Smekens

Coach: T. Simons

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,10
U
3,46
B ✓
2,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Van Damme · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.