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Serie B
Referee: V Crezzini
Sudtirol
T U U T S
2–0
Full-time
Reggiana
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Reggiana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 28%
26%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
61%
39%
Both score Ø 48%
52%
43%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
9 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 18. · Reggiana 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 24 17 4 3 +28 55
2 Pisa 24 15 6 3 +18 51
3 Spezia 24 13 9 2 +23 48
4 Cremonese 23 10 7 6 +10 37
5 Catanzaro 24 7 14 3 +7 35
6 Juve Stabia 24 8 9 7 -3 33
7 Bari 23 6 12 5 +4 30
8 Palermo 24 8 6 10 +2 30
9 Modena 24 6 12 6 +1 30
10 Cesena 24 8 6 10 -2 30
11 Reggiana 23 7 7 9 -2 28
12 Mantova 24 6 10 8 -5 28
13 Cittadella 24 7 7 10 -14 28
14 Carrarese 23 7 6 10 -8 27
15 Brescia 23 5 10 8 -4 25
16 Sampdoria 24 5 10 9 -7 25
17 Cosenza 24 4 10 10 -8 22
18 Sudtirol 23 6 4 13 -13 22
19 Salernitana 23 5 6 12 -11 21
20 Frosinone 23 4 9 10 -16 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Reggiana
1–0 N. Pyyhtiä
S. Davì
14′
26′
🟨 Lorenzo Ignacchiti
Half-time 2–0
2–0 N. Pietrangeli
D. Casiraghi
50′
55′
🔁 L. Vido
↦ J. Kumi
H. El Kaouakibi 🔁
↦ N. Pyyhtiä
67′
67′
🔁 M. Maggio
↦ L. Libutti
J. Martini 🔁
↦ D. Casiraghi
76′
M. Rover 🔁
↦ S. Merkaj
76′
77′
🟨 Luca Vido
78′
🟨 Matteo Maggio
78′
🔁 S. Pettinari
↦ C. Gondo
79′
🔁 N. Girma
↦ M. Portanova
79′
🔁 R. Fiamozzi
↦ M. Sampirisi
Jacopo Martini 🟨
81′
A. Mallamo 🔁
↦ S. Molina
86′
R. Kofler 🔁
↦ F. Veseli
86′
92′
ℹ️ Natan Girma
VAR: Goal cancelled
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sudtirol

3-5-2
31 M. Adamonis G
30 A. Giorgini D
19 N. Pietrangeli D
34 F. Veseli D
79 S. Molina M
18 N. Pyyhtiä M
99 M. Praszelik M
17 D. Casiraghi M
24 S. Davì M
33 S. Merkaj F
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (12)
2 H. El Kaouakibi
6 J. Martini
7 M. Rover
8 A. Mallamo
28 R. Kofler
9 G. Gori
14 F. Davi
1 G. Poluzzi
20 L. Belardinelli
4 T. Arrigoni
23 L. Ceppitelli
16 E. Lamanna

Coach: F. Castori

Reggiana

4-3-3
22 F. Bardi G
31 M. Sampirisi D
13 A. Meroni D
44 L. Lucchesi D
17 L. Libutti D
55 J. Kumi M
16 T. Reinhart M
5 A. Sersanti M
25 L. Ignacchiti F
11 C. Gondo F
90 M. Portanova F
Bench (12)
10 L. Vido
27 M. Maggio
23 S. Pettinari
80 N. Girma
15 R. Fiamozzi
24 A. Fontanarosa
3 J. Sosa
77 E. Kabashi
6 L. Štulac
29 O. Urso
8 L. Cigarini
99 A. Sposito

Coach: W. Viali

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,46
U
2,83
B
3,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,69
U2,5 ✓
1,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

V Crezzini · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.