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Premiership
Referee: C Graham
Ross County
T T T T S
1–1
Full-time
St Mirren
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 26/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
19%
41%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
46%
41%
Both score Ø 29%
31%
26%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
6 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 11. · St Mirren 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 27 22 1 4 +48 67
2 Celtic 27 20 5 2 +42 65
3 Hearts 27 16 3 8 +8 51
4 Kilmarnock 27 10 10 7 +4 40
5 St Mirren 27 11 5 11 +1 38
6 Dundee 26 8 8 10 -5 32
7 Hibernian 26 7 9 10 -9 30
8 Aberdeen 26 6 9 11 -12 27
9 Motherwell 27 5 11 11 -8 26
10 ST Johnstone 27 5 9 13 -20 24
11 Ross County 26 5 7 14 -22 22
12 Livingston 27 3 7 17 -27 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ross County St Mirren
1–0 J. White
11′
Half-time 1–0
Max Sheaf 🟨
54′
T. Jenks 🔁
↦ V. Loturi
58′
62′
🔁 J. Scott
↦ G. Kiltie
62′
🔁 K. Baccus
↦ Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
J. Sims 🔁
↦ E. Brophy
69′
71′
🔁 T. Olusanya
↦ E. Bwomono
71′
🔁 J. Ayunga
↦ M. Mandron
71′
🔁 J. Brown
↦ L. Jamieson
Ryan Leak 🟨
82′
G. Harmon 🔁
↦ M. Sheaf
85′
J. Brown 🔁
↦ M. Efete
85′
J. Henderson 🔁
↦ S. Murray
86′
86′
T. Olusanya 1–1
K. Baccus
88′
🟨 Jonah Ayunga
93′
🟨 Scott Tanser
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ross County

4-3-3
40 G. Wickens G
24 M. Efete D
28 L. Ayina D
42 R. Leak D
43 J. Reid D
12 M. Sheaf M
14 V. Loturi M
18 E. King M
15 S. Murray F
26 J. White F
27 E. Brophy F
Bench (9)
21 T. Jenks
11 J. Sims
16 G. Harmon
4 J. Brown
17 J. Henderson
3 C. Borthwick-Jackson
1 R. Laidlaw
19 B. Khela
5 J. Baldwin

Coach: D. Cowie

St Mirren

3-4-3
1 Z. Hemming G
2 J. Bolton D
13 A. Gogić D
22 M. Fraser D
42 E. Bwomono M
16 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu M
15 C. Boyd-Munce M
3 S. Tanser M
24 L. Jamieson F
9 M. Mandron F
11 G. Kiltie F
Bench (9)
14 J. Scott
17 K. Baccus
20 T. Olusanya
7 J. Ayunga
21 J. Brown
6 M. O'Hara
5 R. Taylor
27 P. Urminský
18 C. Dunne

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,55
U ✓
3,21
B
2,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Graham · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.