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Coppa Italia
Referee: G Collu
Sampdoria
U S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Como
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Como
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
4 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cesena 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Udinese 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Empoli 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Brescia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Carrarese 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Mantova 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Palermo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Avellino 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Cremonese 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Bari 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Napoli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Modena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Monza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Sudtirol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Cittadella 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Verona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Catania 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Torres 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Parma 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Reggiana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Venezia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Padova 1 0 0 1 -2 0
25 Juve Stabia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Como
23′
🔁 E. Goldaniga
↦ R. Varane
1–0 N. Ioannou
M. Coda
37′
44′
P. Cutrone 1–1
Gabriel Strefezza
Half-time 1–1
61′
🔁 A. Gabrielloni
↦ A. Belotti
61′
🔁 D. Baselli
↦ L. Mazzitelli
S. Giordano 🔁
↦ N. Ioannou
68′
G. Tutino 🔁
↦ F. Borini
68′
71′
🟨 Lucas Da Cunha
L. Benedetti 🔁
↦ E. Akinsanmiro
76′
R. Vieira 🔁
↦ A. Bellemo
76′
78′
🔁 M. Sala
↦ Alberto Moreno
78′
🔁 S. Verdi
↦ P. Cutrone
M. Meulensteen 🔁
↦ Gerard Yepes
82′
89′
🟨 Simone Verdi
91′
🟨 Alessio Iovine
97′
🟨 Alessio Iovine
97′
🟥 Alessio Iovine
121′
L. da Cunha 1–2
2–2 R. Vieira
122′
123′
S. Verdi
penalty missed
3–2 L. Benedetti
124′
125′
M. Braunöder
penalty missed
M. Meulensteen
penalty missed
126′
127′
D. Baselli 3–3
4–3 M. Coda
128′
129′
Gabriel Strefezza 4–4
5–4 G. Tutino
130′
Full-time 5–4

Line-ups

Sampdoria

3-4-1-2
22 S. Ghidotti G
24 B. Bereszyński D
6 S. Romagnoli D
31 S. Vulikić D
18 L. Venuti M
28 Gerard Yepes M
7 A. Bellemo M
44 N. Ioannou M
15 E. Akinsanmiro F
9 M. Coda F
16 F. Borini F
Bench (15)
21 S. Giordano
10 G. Tutino
80 L. Benedetti
4 R. Vieira
17 M. Meulensteen
14 P. Kasami
30 N. Ravaglia
29 S. Girelli
8 M. Ricci
19 M. Stoppa
20 A. La Gumina
3 A. Barreca
1 P. Vismara
25 A. Ferrari
32 L. Zeqiraj

Coach: A. Pirlo

Como

4-2-3-1
25 Pepe Reina G
6 A. Iovine D
19 R. Varane D
93 F. Barba D
18 Alberto Moreno D
36 L. Mazzitelli M
27 M. Braunöder M
7 Gabriel Strefezza M
10 P. Cutrone M
33 L. da Cunha M
11 A. Belotti F
Bench (13)
5 E. Goldaniga
9 A. Gabrielloni
8 D. Baselli
3 M. Sala
90 S. Verdi
28 O. Abildgaard
13 A. Dossena
84 T. Cassandro
17 A. Cerri
1 E. Audero
22 M. Vigorito
23 N. Gioacchini
26 Y. Engelhardt

Coach: Cesc Fàbregas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Collu · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.