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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Aberdeen
U T T S S
2–1
Full-time
Livingston
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,0
Scored
1,2
0,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 20%
27%
13%
Points per game
1,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
47%
25%
Both score Ø 36%
40%
31%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,1
0,6
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
11 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 10. · Livingston 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 18 13 3 2 +29 42
2 Rangers 16 12 1 3 +25 37
3 Hearts 17 8 2 7 +2 26
4 St Mirren 18 7 5 6 -1 26
5 Kilmarnock 18 6 6 6 +1 24
6 Hibernian 18 6 6 6 -2 24
7 Dundee 16 5 6 5 -3 21
8 ST Johnstone 17 4 6 7 -11 18
9 Ross County 17 4 5 8 -9 17
10 Aberdeen 15 4 4 7 -8 16
11 Motherwell 18 3 7 8 -9 16
12 Livingston 16 2 5 9 -14 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Aug -23 Livingston – Aberdeen 0–0 25. Feb -23 Aberdeen – Livingston 1–0 8. Nov -22 Livingston – Aberdeen 2–1 27. Aug -22 Aberdeen – Livingston 5–0 23. Apr -22 Aberdeen – Livingston 1–2

Match report

Aberdeen Livingston
28′
⚽ K. Guthrie 0–1
J. Penrice
1–1 B. Miovski ⚽
N. Devlin
42′
45′
🟨 Michael Devlin
Half-time 1–1
58′
🔁 S. Kelly
↦ A. Shinnie
S. Morris 🔁
↦ J. McGarry
60′
65′
🟨 James Penrice
2–1 B. Miovski ⚽
Duk
65′
71′
🔁 B. Anderson
↦ J. Brandon
E. Sokler 🔁
↦ Duk
79′
J. McGrath 🔁
↦ L. Clarkson
79′
83′
🔁 M. Welch-Hayes
↦ M. Nottingham
84′
🟨 Scott Pitman
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Aberdeen

3-4-1-2
24 K. Roos G
6 S. Gartenmann D
27 A. MacDonald D
5 R. Jensen D
2 N. Devlin M
10 L. Clarkson M
4 G. Shinnie M
15 J. McGarry M
21 D. Polvara F
9 B. Miovski F
11 Duk F
Bench (9)
20 S. Morris
19 E. Sokler
7 J. McGrath
28 J. Milne
14 P. Guèye
31 R. Doohan
23 R. Duncan
8 C. Barron
17 J. Hayes

Coach: B. Robson

Livingston

3-4-2-1
1 S. George G
21 M. Nottingham D
6 A. Obileye D
5 M. Devlin D
12 J. Brandon M
22 A. Shinnie M
18 J. Holt M
29 J. Penrice M
8 S. Pittman F
19 J. Nouble F
28 K. Guthrie F
Bench (9)
10 S. Kelly
9 B. Anderson
14 M. Welch-Hayes
25 D. Lloyd-McGoldrick
32 J. Hamilton
4 T. Parkes
3 C. Montaño
40 S. Lawal
23 L. de Lucas

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
🔒
U
3,80
🔒
B
4,86
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,01
🔒
U2,5
1,78
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.