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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Rangers
S T S S S
2–2
Full-time
Hearts
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rangers Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 60%
78%
42%
Points per game
2,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
72%
64%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
3,4
3,2
Scored
2,4
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

69% Possession 31%
19 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rangers 2. · Hearts 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 36 31 3 2 +77 96
2 Rangers 36 28 4 4 +53 88
3 Aberdeen 36 17 3 16 -2 54
4 Hearts 36 15 7 14 +6 52
5 Hibernian 36 14 6 16 -4 48
6 Motherwell 36 13 7 16 +1 46
7 St Mirren 36 12 10 14 -12 46
8 Livingston 36 13 6 17 -22 45
9 ST Johnstone 37 11 7 19 -20 40
10 Ross County 37 9 7 21 -21 34
11 Kilmarnock 36 9 7 20 -30 34
12 Dundee United 36 8 7 21 -26 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rangers Hearts
1′
L. Shankland 0–1
J. Ginnelly
3′
ℹ️ Lawrence Shankland
VAR: Goal confirmed
Allan McGregor 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 F. Sakala
47′
2–1 T. Cantwell
49′
50′
🟨 Josh Ginnelly
Rıdvan Yılmaz 🟨
55′
Alfredo Morelos 🟨
58′
61′
🔁 M. Smith
↦ Y. Oda
63′
🟨 Kye Rowles
S. Arfield 🔁
↦ L. King
66′
R. Matondo 🔁
↦ G. Kamara
66′
70′
🔁 B. McKay
↦ C. Devlin
78′
🟨 Michael Smith
R. Jack 🔁
↦ N. Raskin
81′
S. Wright 🔁
↦ A. Morelos
82′
83′
🔁 G. Kuol
↦ A. Forrest
83′
🔁 O. Kiomourtzoglou
↦ P. Haring
A. Lowry 🔁
↦ F. Sakala
90′
94′
🟨 Garang Kuol
94′
G. Kuol 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Rangers

4-3-1-2
1 A. McGregor G
2 J. Tavernier D
16 J. Souttar D
38 L. King D
3 R. Yılmaz D
4 J. Lundstram M
43 N. Raskin M
18 G. Kamara M
13 T. Cantwell M
20 A. Morelos F
30 F. Sakala F
Bench (9)
37 S. Arfield
17 R. Matondo
8 R. Jack
23 S. Wright
51 A. Lowry
7 I. Hagi
28 R. McCrorie
44 A. Devine
31 B. Barišić

Coach: M. Beale

Hearts

4-2-3-1
28 Z. Clark G
12 N. Atkinson D
21 T. Sibbick D
72 J. Hill D
15 K. Rowles D
14 C. Devlin M
5 P. Haring M
88 Y. Oda M
9 L. Shankland M
17 A. Forrest M
30 J. Ginnelly F
Bench (9)
2 M. Smith
18 B. McKay
61 G. Kuol
8 O. Kiomourtzoglou
16 A. Halliday
7 J. Grant
20 L. Neilson
45 M. Tait
13 R. Stewart

Coach: S. Naismith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,34
U ✓
5,44
B
7,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,43
U2,5
2,73
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.