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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
Hibernian
S S S T U
2–3
Full-time
Livingston
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
36%
27%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
41%
36%
Both score Ø 39%
41%
36%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

67% Possession 33%
11 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 5. · Livingston 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 23 17 5 1 +30 56
2 Celtic 22 16 3 3 +33 51
3 Hearts 22 11 6 5 +12 39
4 Motherwell 22 9 5 8 -4 32
5 Hibernian 22 8 6 8 +0 30
6 Aberdeen 22 8 4 10 +0 28
7 Dundee United 22 8 4 10 -7 28
8 St Mirren 22 5 10 7 -11 25
9 Livingston 22 6 5 11 -9 23
10 Ross County 23 5 7 11 -7 22
11 Dundee 22 4 5 13 -21 17
12 ST Johnstone 22 3 6 13 -16 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Dec -21 Livingston – Hibernian 1–0 28. Aug -21 Hibernian – Livingston 2–0 21. Apr -21 Hibernian – Livingston 2–1 20. Mar -21 Livingston – Hibernian 1–1 2. Jan -21 Hibernian – Livingston 0–3

Match report

Hibernian Livingston
1–0 D. Mitchell ⚽
6′
8′
ℹ️ Odin Bailey
VAR: Penalty cancelled
18′
⚽ A. Obileye 1–1
O. Bailey
R. Bushiri 🔁
↦ P. McGinn
22′
2–1 C. Cadden ⚽
J. Campbell
32′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 C. Montaño
↦ J. Longridge
53′
⚽ J. Fitzwater 2–2
J. Nouble
59′
⚽ A. Forrest 2–3
J. Nouble
J. Murphy 🔁
↦ C. Doidge
65′
C. Mueller 🔁
↦ J. Campbell
65′
J. Scott 🔁
↦ D. Mitchell
73′
J. Doig 🔁
↦ L. Stevenson
73′
76′
🟨 Jason Holt
77′
🔁 A. Shinnie
↦ S. Pittman
77′
🔁 B. Anderson
↦ J. Nouble
Jamie Murphy 🟨
79′
89′
🔁 M. Boyes
↦ A. Forrest
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
1 M. Macey G
16 L. Stevenson D
6 P. McGinn D
27 C. Cadden M
5 R. Porteous D
19 D. Mitchell M
22 J. Doyle-Hayes M
80 E. Henderson F
32 J. Campbell M
9 C. Doidge F
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
33 R. Bushiri
18 J. Murphy
14 C. Mueller
25 J. Scott
3 J. Doig
11 J. Newell
21 M. Dąbrowski
23 S. Allan
8 D. Wright

Coach: S. Maloney

Livingston

4-3-3
32 M. Stryjek G
2 N. Devlin D
6 A. Obileye D
3 J. Longridge D
5 J. Fitzwater D
18 J. Holt M
8 S. Pittman M
17 A. Forrest F
33 S. Oméonga M
14 O. Bailey F
19 J. Nouble F
Bench (9)
11 C. Montaño
22 A. Shinnie
9 B. Anderson
15 M. Boyes
29 J. Penrice
23 C. Chukwuemeka
16 A. Lewis
21 J. McMillan
36 G. Maley

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
🔒
U
3,46
🔒
B ✓
4,84
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,35
🔒
U2,5
1,57
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.