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Premiership
Referee: C Napier
Hibernian
S T T T T
4–0
Full-time
Livingston
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 17/16 matches
Win Ø 40%
35%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
47%
50%
Both score Ø 49%
47%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

78% Possession 22%
27 Shots 8
11 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 1
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hibernian 8. · Livingston 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 18 17 0 1 +42 51
2 Rangers 18 13 3 2 +23 42
3 Aberdeen 18 8 1 9 +2 25
4 Hearts 16 7 3 6 +1 24
5 ST Johnstone 18 7 3 8 -4 24
6 St Mirren 16 7 3 6 -4 24
7 Livingston 16 7 2 7 -6 23
8 Hibernian 17 6 2 9 -6 20
9 Motherwell 17 5 3 9 -2 18
10 Kilmarnock 18 4 4 10 -17 16
11 Ross County 18 4 3 11 -15 15
12 Dundee United 16 3 3 10 -14 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Aug -22 Livingston – Hibernian 2–1 30. Apr -22 Livingston – Hibernian 1–0 29. Jan -22 Hibernian – Livingston 2–3 8. Dec -21 Livingston – Hibernian 1–0 28. Aug -21 Hibernian – Livingston 2–0

Match report

Hibernian Livingston
15′
🟥 Jason Holt
Ryan Porteous 🟨
17′
17′
🟨 Andrew Shinnie
24′
🟨 Scott Pitman
28′
🔁 J. Longridge
↦ D. Bahamboula
1–0 K. Nisbet ⚽
33′
2–0 C. Cadden ⚽
K. Nisbet
35′
3–0 K. Magennis ⚽
É. Youan
40′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🟨 Jackson Longridge
46′
🔁 S. Oméonga
↦ S. Kelly
4–0 K. Magennis ⚽
É. Youan
50′
E. Henderson 🔁
↦ R. Bushiri
61′
W. Fish 🔁
↦ P. Hanlon
61′
65′
🔁 M. Boyes
↦ C. Montaño
69′
🟨 Nicky Devlin
E. Melkersen 🔁
↦ K. Nisbet
70′
H. McKirdy 🔁
↦ K. Magennis
71′
74′
🔁 Esmaël Gonçalves
↦ B. Anderson
74′
🔁 J. Penrice
↦ N. Devlin
M. Čabraja 🔁
↦ L. Stevenson
77′
Joe Newell 🟨
85′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
1 D. Marshall G
12 C. Cadden D
33 R. Bushiri D
4 P. Hanlon D
16 L. Stevenson D
5 R. Porteous M
11 J. Newell M
7 K. Magennis M
32 J. Campbell M
23 É. Youan M
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
18 E. Henderson
25 W. Fish
20 E. Melkersen
22 H. McKirdy
3 M. Čabraja
46 A. McGeady
6 N. Kenneh
13 R. Schofield
19 D. Mitchell

Coach: L. Johnson

Livingston

4-3-3
31 I. Konovalov G
2 N. Devlin D
6 A. Obileye D
5 J. Fitzwater D
11 C. Montaño D
18 J. Holt M
8 S. Pittman M
22 A. Shinnie M
7 D. Bahamboula F
9 B. Anderson F
17 S. Kelly F
Bench (8)
3 J. Longridge
33 S. Oméonga
15 M. Boyes
10 Esmaël Gonçalves
29 J. Penrice
32 J. Hamilton
24 S. Kelly
25 P. Čančar

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,83
🔒
U
3,45
🔒
B
4,40
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,12
🔒
U2,5
1,70
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Napier · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.