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Premiership

Referee: B Madden

Celtic

S S U S S

1–0

Full-time

Hearts

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,3

This season — Premiership · 14/15 matches

Win Ø 56%

64%

47%

Points per game

2,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

57%

40%

Both score Ø 52%

43%

60%

Average goals

3,0

2,6

Scored

2,3

1,7

Conceded

0,7

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

69% Possession 31%

25 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 2

11 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

13 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celtic 2. · Hearts 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	15	11	3	1	+19	36
2	Celtic	14	9	2	3	+22	29
3	Hearts	15	7	6	2	+11	27
4	Dundee United	16	7	4	5	+0	25
5	Motherwell	16	7	3	6	-4	24
6	Hibernian	14	5	3	6	-1	18
7	Aberdeen	16	5	3	8	-3	18
8	St Mirren	16	3	8	5	-8	17
9	Dundee	15	4	4	7	-12	16
10	ST Johnstone	15	3	5	7	-6	14
11	Livingston	15	3	4	8	-10	13
12	Ross County	15	2	5	8	-8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hearts	8	5	3	0	+11	18
2	Celtic	7	5	2	0	+18	17
3	Motherwell	9	5	1	3	-1	16
4	Rangers	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Dundee United	7	5	0	2	+2	15
6	Aberdeen	8	4	1	3	+2	13
7	Dundee	9	3	3	3	-3	12
8	Hibernian	7	3	1	3	+0	10
9	St Mirren	8	1	4	3	-2	7
10	Ross County	7	1	3	3	-3	6
11	ST Johnstone	8	1	3	4	-4	6
12	Livingston	6	1	1	4	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	8	7	0	1	+12	21
2	Celtic	7	4	0	3	+4	12
3	Dundee United	9	2	4	3	-2	10
4	St Mirren	8	2	4	2	-6	10
5	Hearts	7	2	3	2	+0	9
6	Livingston	9	2	3	4	-6	9
7	Hibernian	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	-3	8
10	Ross County	8	1	2	5	-5	5
11	Aberdeen	8	1	2	5	-5	5
12	Dundee	6	1	1	4	-9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.