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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Hamilton
U U T U T
0–1
Full-time
Motherwell
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamilton Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 24%
18%
29%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
41%
47%
Both score Ø 44%
47%
41%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
5 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamilton 12. · Motherwell 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 34 29 5 0 +69 92
2 Celtic 34 21 9 4 +48 72
3 Hibernian 34 16 8 10 +12 56
4 Aberdeen 34 14 10 10 +2 52
5 Livingston 34 12 8 14 -7 44
6 Dundee United 34 10 12 12 -13 42
7 ST Johnstone 34 10 10 14 -7 40
8 St Mirren 34 10 10 14 -9 40
9 Motherwell 34 10 8 16 -18 38
10 Ross County 34 8 6 20 -33 30
11 Kilmarnock 34 8 5 21 -14 29
12 Hamilton 34 6 9 19 -30 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Feb -21 Motherwell – Hamilton 1–4 2. Jan -21 Hamilton – Motherwell 3–0 22. Aug -20 Motherwell – Hamilton 0–1 22. Feb -20 Hamilton – Motherwell 0–0 29. Dec -19 Motherwell – Hamilton 1–2

Match report

Hamilton Motherwell
Hakeem Odofin 🟨
7′
26′
🟨 Christopher Long
Ross Callachan 🟨
31′
Ronan Hughes 🟥
33′
37′
⚽ M. O'Hara 0–1
C. Long
Half-time 0–1
64′
🔁 B. Maguire
↦ C. Long
L. Smith 🔁
↦ R. Callachan
68′
R. Mimnaugh 🔁
↦ B. Easton
71′
N. Thomas 🔁
↦ L. Hodson
79′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hamilton

3-4-2-1
22 K. Gourlay G
5 B. Easton D
16 A. Martin D
27 L. Hodson M
3 S. McMann M
2 H. Odoffin M
21 K. Munro F
6 J. Hamilton D
34 R. Callachan F
15 R. Hughes M
7 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
11 L. Smith
18 R. Mimnaugh
24 N. Thomas
4 B. Stirling
26 M. Redfern
32 C. Smith
17 G. Stanger
41 R. Scully
20 D. Moyo

Coach: B. Rice

Motherwell

3-5-2
13 L. Kelly G
31 D. Gallagher D
33 S. O'Donnell M
4 R. Lamie D
5 N. McGinley M
40 T. Magloire D
8 R. Crawford M
7 M. O'Hara M
6 A. Campbell M
44 D. Cole F
9 C. Long F
Bench (9)
15 B. Maguire
14 S. Lawless
18 C. Dunne
26 D. Cornelius
3 J. Carroll
34 A. Chapman
16 B. Mugabi
11 J. Hastie
37 S. Foley

Coach: G. Alexander

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,86
🔒
U
3,33
🔒
B ✓
2,43
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,08
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,73
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.