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Championship
Referee: M Salisbury
Luton
S T T S S
0–0
Full-time
Reading
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luton Reading
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Championship · 41/42 matches
Win Ø 42%
39%
45%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
29%
48%
Both score Ø 41%
32%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
12 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luton 13. · Reading 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 43 27 9 7 +34 90
2 Watford 43 25 10 8 +32 85
3 Bournemouth 42 22 11 9 +32 77
4 Brentford 40 19 14 7 +30 71
5 Barnsley 40 21 8 11 +12 71
6 Swansea 40 20 9 11 +14 69
7 Reading 42 19 10 13 +11 67
8 QPR 43 17 11 15 +0 62
9 Cardiff 43 16 13 14 +12 61
10 Middlesbrough 43 17 9 17 +3 60
11 Millwall 43 14 17 12 -2 59
12 Stoke 43 14 14 15 -2 56
13 Luton 41 16 8 17 -10 56
14 Preston 43 15 7 21 -11 52
15 Coventry 43 13 12 18 -16 51
16 Bristol City 43 15 6 22 -16 51
17 Blackburn 43 13 11 19 +5 50
18 Nott'm Forest 42 12 13 17 -7 49
19 Birmingham 42 12 12 18 -18 48
20 Huddersfield 42 12 11 19 -17 47
21 Sheffield Weds 43 12 9 22 -19 45
22 Derby 43 11 10 22 -20 43
23 Rotherham 41 11 6 24 -14 39
24 Wycombe 43 9 10 24 -33 37

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luton Reading
35′
🟨 Andy Yiadom
Sonny Bradley 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
H. Cornick 🔁
↦ J. Clark
64′
G. Moncur 🔁
↦ K. LuaLua
64′
71′
🔁 J. Swift
↦ G. Puşcaş
G. Rea 🔁
↦ R. Tunnicliffe
72′
77′
🔁 S. Baldock
↦ M. Olise
78′
🔁 Alfa Semedo
↦ O. Ejaria
78′
🔁 S. Aluko
↦ O. Richards
J. Collins 🔁
↦ E. Adebayo
83′
84′
🔁 L. Gibson
↦ L. Moore
James Collins 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Luton

4-2-3-1
12 S. Sluga G
5 S. Bradley D
6 M. Pearson D
26 J. Bree D
25 K. LuaLua M
4 R. Tunnicliffe M
18 J. Clark M
24 K. Naismith D
17 P. Ruddock M
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
29 E. Adebayo F
Bench (9)
7 H. Cornick
14 G. Moncur
16 G. Rea
19 J. Collins
28 J. Morrell
1 J. Shea
3 D. Potts
2 M. Cranie
27 S. Nombe

Coach: N. Jones

Reading

4-2-3-1
33 Rafael G
6 L. Moore D
3 O. Richards D
29 T. Holmes D
17 A. Yiadom D
28 J. Laurent M
14 O. Ejaria M
8 A. Rinomhota M
7 M. Olise M
47 G. Puşcaş F
11 Y. Meïté M
Bench (9)
10 J. Swift
9 S. Baldock
30 Alfa Semedo
24 S. Aluko
15 L. Gibson
34 D. Tetek
2 Tomás Esteves
46 J. Onen
22 L. Southwood

Coach: V. Paunovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,09
U ✓
3,26
B
2,36
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Salisbury · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.