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Süper Lig
Referee: Abdulkadir Bitigen
Ankaragücü
T S U S U
1–1
Full-time
Denizlispor
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Denizlispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 24%
30%
18%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
52%
45%
Both score Ø 55%
58%
52%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ankaragücü 15. · Denizlispor 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 34 22 6 6 +37 72
2 Fenerbahce 34 21 6 7 +27 69
3 Galatasaray 33 20 5 8 +33 65
4 Trabzonspor 34 16 11 7 +9 59
5 Hatayspor 34 15 8 11 +14 53
6 Alanyaspor 34 15 7 12 +15 52
7 Gaziantep 33 13 12 8 +10 51
8 Sivasspor 34 12 15 7 +7 51
9 Karagumruk 34 13 11 10 +9 50
10 Goztep 35 12 11 12 +3 47
11 Rizespor 34 10 12 12 -10 42
12 Antalyaspor 35 9 15 11 -11 42
13 Konyaspor 34 10 11 13 -3 41
14 Yeni Malatyaspor 33 8 13 12 -5 37
15 Ankaragücü 33 10 7 16 -12 37
16 Kasimpasa 34 9 10 15 -13 37
17 Kayserispor 34 8 11 15 -17 35
18 Buyuksehyr 33 8 9 16 -17 33
19 Genclerbirligi 34 8 8 18 -26 32
20 Erzurumspor 34 7 10 17 -23 31
21 Denizlispor 33 6 8 19 -27 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Denizlispor
6′
H. Rodallega 0–1
1–1 S. Kitsiou
A. Potuk
35′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 K. Aktaş
↦ V. Tusha
61′
🟨 Fabiano
S. Lobzhanidze 🔁
↦ E. Güral
64′
O. Çınar 🔁
↦ Geraldo
64′
78′
🔁 H. Ayaroğlu
↦ M. Mešanović
Ş. Çetin 🔁
↦ E. Çekiçi
79′
81′
🟨 Hasan Ayaroğlu
Zvonimir Šarlija 🟨
87′
88′
🔁 A. Ben Mohamed
↦ S. Aytaç
88′
🔁 Ö. Çek
↦ M. Diskerud
90′
🟨 Oğuz Yılmaz
91′
🔁 A. Kol
↦ Á. Sagal
E. Ayyıldız 🔁
↦ Tiago Pinto
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

4-2-3-1
1 K. Çelikay G
13 A. Kulusic D
8 Tiago Pinto D
70 S. Kitsiou D
50 Z. Šarlija D
20 A. Potuk M
24 İ. Akdağ M
88 E. Çekiçi M
77 E. Güral M
29 Geraldo M
28 J. Paintsil F
Bench (10)
11 S. Lobzhanidze
10 O. Çınar
18 Ş. Çetin
97 E. Ayyıldız
2 M. Pazdan
14 A. Dioussé
89 A. Turan
25 Ricardo Friedrich
4 E. Dikmen
42 I. Voca

Coach: H. Karaman

Denizlispor

4-2-3-1
99 A. Sünger G
23 S. Aytaç D
91 Fabiano D
15 O. Yılmaz D
76 Ö. Özdemir D
42 M. Diskerud M
8 R. Murawski M
7 H. Rodallega F
11 M. Mešanović M
28 Á. Sagal M
25 V. Tusha M
Bench (10)
5 K. Aktaş
70 H. Ayaroğlu
30 A. Ben Mohamed
60 Ö. Çek
61 A. Kol
14 M. Dossevi
3 M. Özkal
13 A. Yalçın
26 G. Can
19 C. Gönen

Coach: A. Tandoğan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
U ✓
3,70
B
4,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Abdulkadir Bitigen · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.