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Super League
Aris
S T S T S
0–1
Full-time
PAOK
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Super League · 30/32 matches
Win Ø 52%
57%
47%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
37%
59%
Both score Ø 43%
30%
56%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

7 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
9 Corners 2
15 Free kicks against 24
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Aris 4. · PAOK 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 34 27 5 2 +59 86
2 AEK 33 18 6 9 +11 60
3 Aris Thessalonikis 30 17 6 7 +18 57
4 Aris 30 17 6 7 +18 57
5 PAOK 32 15 10 7 +23 55
6 Panathinaikos 33 15 7 11 +10 52
7 Asteras Tripolis 34 12 11 11 -5 47
8 Volos NFC 32 9 12 11 -7 39
9 Giannina 32 9 10 13 -4 37
10 Lamia 32 8 10 14 -20 34
11 Atromitos 32 6 13 13 -16 31
12 Apollon 32 8 6 18 -14 30
13 OFI Crete 32 6 7 19 -24 25
14 Panetolikos 32 5 10 17 -24 25
15 Larisa 32 5 9 18 -25 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,03
U
3,23
B ✓
2,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.