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Super League

Referee: F Letexier

Olympiakos

S S S U U

3–1

Full-time

PAOK

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos PAOK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

2,7

1,8

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,3

This season — Super League · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 58%

58%

Points per game

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

52%

42%

Both score Ø 40%

45%

35%

Average goals

2,6

2,1

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

21 Shots 3

8 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 3

6 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Olympiakos 3. · PAOK 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	32	23	6	3	+30	75
2	AEK	31	23	3	5	+44	72
3	Olympiakos	31	18	10	3	+42	64
4	PAOK	31	18	10	3	+30	64
5	Volos NFC	31	12	7	12	-12	43
6	Aris Thessalonikis	29	12	5	12	+12	41
7	Aris	29	12	5	12	+12	41
8	Atromitos	30	8	10	12	-3	34
9	Panetolikos	30	8	8	14	-14	32
10	OFI Crete	30	7	10	13	-13	31
11	Asteras Tripolis	30	5	13	12	-16	28
12	Lamia	30	5	11	14	-32	26
13	Ionikos	30	6	6	18	-27	24
14	Giannina	30	4	11	15	-26	23
15	Levadeiakos	30	3	11	16	-27	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	15	12	1	2	+26	37
2	Panathinaikos	15	11	3	1	+14	36
3	Olympiakos	16	10	5	1	+26	35
4	PAOK	15	10	3	2	+17	33
5	Aris Thessalonikis	15	9	2	4	+15	29
6	Aris	15	9	2	4	+15	29
7	Atromitos	15	6	6	3	+5	24
8	Asteras Tripolis	15	5	8	2	+4	23
9	Volos NFC	16	6	2	8	-10	20
10	Ionikos	15	4	5	6	-8	17
11	Levadeiakos	15	3	7	5	-5	16
12	Panetolikos	15	4	4	7	-7	16
13	Lamia	15	4	4	7	-13	16
14	Giannina	15	3	6	6	-11	15
15	OFI Crete	15	2	5	8	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	17	12	3	2	+16	39
2	AEK	16	11	2	3	+18	35
3	PAOK	16	8	7	1	+13	31
4	Olympiakos	15	8	5	2	+16	29
5	Volos NFC	15	6	5	4	-2	23
6	OFI Crete	15	5	5	5	+1	20
7	Panetolikos	15	4	4	7	-7	16
8	Aris Thessalonikis	14	3	3	8	-3	12
9	Aris	14	3	3	8	-3	12
10	Atromitos	15	2	4	9	-8	10
11	Lamia	15	1	7	7	-19	10
12	Giannina	15	1	5	9	-15	8
13	Ionikos	15	2	1	12	-19	7
14	Asteras Tripolis	15	0	5	10	-20	5
15	Levadeiakos	15	0	4	11	-22	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.