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Conference League
Referee: D Siebert
Club Brugge
S S T U S
1–0
Full-time
PAOK
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 71%
71%
71%
Points per game
2,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
71%
79%
Both score Ø 61%
57%
64%
Average goals
3,4
3,5
Scored
2,6
2,4
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,36 xG 0,18
61% Possession 39%
12 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Club Brugge PAOK
1–0 H. Vetlesen ⚽
Ferran Jutglà
6′
Igor Thiago 🟨
25′
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Mbwana Ally Samatta
J. Ordoñez 🔁
↦ J. Spileers
56′
62′
🔁 K. Despodov
↦ G. Konstantelias
72′
🔁 S. Schwab
↦ M. Ozdoev
72′
🔁 Brandon Thomas
↦ M. Samatta
É. Balanta 🔁
↦ H. Vetlesen
73′
A. Nusa 🔁
↦ Ferran Jutglà
73′
81′
🔁 Jonny
↦ Vieirinha
Maxim De Cuyper 🟨
84′
Brandon Mechele 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Brandon Thomas
Michał Skóraś 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-3-3
29 N. Jackers G
64 K. Sabbe D
58 J. Spileers D
44 B. Mechele D
55 M. De Cuyper D
10 H. Vetlesen M
15 R. Onyedika M
20 H. Vanaken M
8 M. Skóraś F
99 Thiago F
9 Ferran Jutglà F
Bench (9)
4 J. Ordoñez
39 É. Balanta
32 A. Nusa
68 C. Talbi
62 S. Homma
21 J. Bursik
14 B. Meijer
77 P. Zinckernagel
28 D. Boyata

Coach: N. Hayen

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
20 Vieirinha D
16 T. Kędziora D
4 K. Koulierakis D
21 A. Baba D
27 M. Ozdoev M
8 S. Meïté M
14 A. Živković M
7 G. Konstantelias M
11 Taison M
33 M. Samatta F
Bench (10)
77 K. Despodov
22 S. Schwab
71 Brandon Thomas
19 Jonny
95 S. Tzimas
6 T. Tsingaras
18 Ž. Živković
64 C. Talichmanidis
88 Marcos Antônio
5 G. Michailidis

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.