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LaLiga2

Lugo

S U U T U

1–0

Full-time

Alcorcon

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Alcorcon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 16%

24%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

34%

48%

Both score Ø 60%

72%

48%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,1

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

7 Shots 19

3 Shots on target 4

6 Corners 6

13 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugo 14. · Alcorcon 22. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	29	17	8	4	+15	59
2	Almeria	30	18	4	8	+22	58
3	Valladolid	30	17	7	6	+20	58
4	Tenerife	30	15	7	8	+16	52
5	Ponferradina	29	13	9	7	+7	48
6	Girona	29	12	7	10	+7	43
7	Ibiza	29	10	11	8	+4	41
8	Burgos	30	12	5	13	+4	41
9	Oviedo	29	9	14	6	+4	41
10	Las Palmas	30	10	11	9	+1	41
11	Cartagena	29	12	4	13	-3	40
12	Zaragoza	30	8	15	7	-3	39
13	Huesca	30	9	11	10	+6	38
14	Lugo	29	7	16	6	+2	37
15	Leganes	29	9	10	10	-1	37
16	Sp Gijon	29	9	8	12	-3	35
17	Mirandes	29	9	6	14	-9	33
18	Malaga	29	8	9	12	-18	33
19	Sociedad B	29	6	8	15	-11	26
20	Amorebieta	29	4	14	11	-13	26
21	Fuenlabrada	30	4	14	12	-14	26
22	Alcorcon	29	2	8	19	-33	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valladolid	15	11	3	1	+19	36
2	Almeria	15	11	2	2	+17	35
3	Eibar	14	10	3	1	+12	33
4	Burgos	14	8	3	3	+15	27
5	Girona	15	8	3	4	+11	27
6	Tenerife	15	8	3	4	+11	27
7	Ponferradina	14	7	5	2	+10	26
8	Las Palmas	15	7	5	3	+7	26
9	Oviedo	15	6	7	2	+8	25
10	Cartagena	14	8	1	5	+7	25
11	Malaga	15	7	4	4	-1	25
12	Lugo	14	6	6	2	+4	24
13	Mirandes	15	7	2	6	+2	23
14	Ibiza	15	5	6	4	+4	21
15	Huesca	16	5	6	5	+4	21
16	Sp Gijon	15	6	3	6	+0	21
17	Zaragoza	15	4	8	3	+1	20
18	Leganes	14	4	7	3	+2	19
19	Fuenlabrada	16	3	9	4	-1	18
20	Amorebieta	14	3	7	4	-1	16
21	Sociedad B	14	2	4	8	-7	10
22	Alcorcon	14	1	6	7	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	15	7	5	3	+3	26
2	Tenerife	15	7	4	4	+5	25
3	Almeria	15	7	2	6	+5	23
4	Valladolid	15	6	4	5	+1	22
5	Ponferradina	15	6	4	5	-3	22
6	Ibiza	14	5	5	4	+0	20
7	Zaragoza	15	4	7	4	-4	19
8	Leganes	15	5	3	7	-3	18
9	Huesca	14	4	5	5	+2	17
10	Sociedad B	15	4	4	7	-4	16
11	Girona	14	4	4	6	-4	16
12	Oviedo	14	3	7	4	-4	16
13	Las Palmas	15	3	6	6	-6	15
14	Cartagena	15	4	3	8	-10	15
15	Sp Gijon	14	3	5	6	-3	14
16	Burgos	16	4	2	10	-11	14
17	Lugo	15	1	10	4	-2	13
18	Mirandes	14	2	4	8	-11	10
19	Amorebieta	15	1	7	7	-12	10
20	Fuenlabrada	14	1	5	8	-13	8
21	Malaga	14	1	5	8	-17	8
22	Alcorcon	15	1	2	12	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.