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La Liga
Referee: César Soto
Cadiz
S T U U U
2–0
Full-time
Vallecano
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,3
This season — La Liga · 26/25 matches
Win Ø 24%
12%
36%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
35%
44%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
23 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 19. · Vallecano 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 27 19 6 2 +35 63
2 Sevilla 27 15 10 2 +21 55
3 Betis 26 14 4 8 +16 46
4 Barcelona 25 12 9 4 +18 45
5 Ath Madrid 26 13 6 7 +13 45
6 Sociedad 27 12 8 7 -1 44
7 Villarreal 27 11 9 7 +21 42
8 Ath Bilbao 26 9 10 7 +4 37
9 Valencia 27 9 9 9 -2 36
10 Osasuna 27 9 8 10 -5 35
11 Celta 26 8 8 10 +1 32
12 Espanol 27 8 8 11 -7 32
13 Vallecano 25 9 4 12 -2 31
14 Elche 26 7 8 11 -9 29
15 Getafe 27 6 9 12 -6 27
16 Mallorca 26 6 8 12 -18 26
17 Granada 27 5 10 12 -15 25
18 Alaves 27 5 7 15 -23 22
19 Cadiz 26 3 12 11 -18 21
20 Levante 26 3 9 14 -23 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Vallecano
Carlos Akapo 🟨
10′
12′
🟨 Isi Palazón
25′
🔁 N. Maraš
↦ E. Saveljich
Rubén Alcaraz 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
Oussama Idrissi 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 Bebé
↦ Isi Palazón
47′
🟨 Álvaro García
1–0 Rubén Alcaraz
O. Idrissi
55′
62′
🟨 Nikola Maraš
62′
🔁 Ó. Trejo
↦ P. Ciss
2–0 O. Idrissi
63′
Iván Alejo 🟨
65′
Sobrino 🔁
↦ Alejo
65′
José Mari 🔁
↦ A. Lozano
72′
72′
🔁 M. Sylla
↦ Óscar Valentín
73′
🔁 R. Nteka
↦ Fran García
S. Arzamendia 🔁
↦ O. Idrissi
79′
Álex 🔁
↦ Fede
79′
Rubén Sobrino 🟨
82′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 J. Ledesma G
23 Luis Hernández D
15 Carlos Akapo D
22 A. Espino D
32 Víctor Chust D
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
14 Alejo M
24 Fede M
18 Álvaro Negredo F
9 A. Lozano F
11 O. Idrissi M
Bench (12)
21 Sobrino
6 José Mari
19 S. Arzamendia
8 Álex
25 Lucas Pérez
12 T. Alarcón
3 Fali Jiménez
2 J. Jønsson
20 Isaac Carcelén
10 Alberto Perea
16 Juan Cala
13 David Gil

Coach: Sergio

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
1 L. Zidane G
20 I. Balliu D
24 E. Saveljich D
33 Fran García D
4 Mario Suárez D
18 Álvaro García M
23 Óscar Valentín M
6 Santi Comesaña M
21 P. Ciss M
16 Sergi Guardiola F
7 Isi Palazón M
Bench (9)
2 N. Maraš
10 Bebé
8 Ó. Trejo
11 M. Sylla
9 R. Nteka
30 Adrián
32 Mario Hernández
13 S. Dimitrievski
19 Kévin Rodrigues

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,81
U
3,03
B
2,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,47
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.