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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Gent
S S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Waregem
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 25/31 matches
Win Ø 37%
48%
26%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
44%
65%
Both score Ø 55%
44%
65%
Average goals
2,3
3,4
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%
25 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Corners 0
2 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 6. · Waregem 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 26 20 3 3 +44 63
2 Anderlecht 27 17 8 2 +44 59
3 Club Brugge 26 17 5 4 +29 56
4 Antwerp 27 17 4 6 +20 55
5 Charleroi 27 13 7 7 +10 46
6 Gent 25 12 7 6 +17 43
7 Cercle Brugge 32 12 7 13 +7 43
8 Kortrijk 32 11 10 11 +4 43
9 Mechelen 27 13 4 10 +0 43
10 St Truiden 32 12 6 14 -5 42
11 Genk 25 12 5 8 +19 41
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 10 10 10 -2 40
13 Standard 31 9 9 13 -13 36
14 Oostende 31 10 5 16 -26 35
15 Waregem 31 8 8 15 -26 32
16 Eupen 31 7 8 16 -17 29
17 Seraing 30 7 2 21 -37 23
18 Seraing United 30 7 2 21 -37 23
19 Beerschot VA 32 5 4 23 -31 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Waregem
1–0 L. Depoitre
A. Hjulsager
12′
23′
🟨 Alessandro Ciranni
Half-time 1–0
60′
🟨 Timothy Derijck
64′
🔁 A. Sissako
↦ F. Boya
70′
J. Vossen 1–1
V. Odjidja-Ofoe 🔁
↦ Núrio Fortuna
76′
R. Bezus 🔁
↦ Y. Malede
76′
92′
🟨 Abdoulaye Sissako
92′
🔁 D. Kutesa
↦ J. Dompé
93′
🔁 I. Seck
↦ I. Doumbia
2–1 R. Bezus
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-1-2
33 D. Roef G
5 M. Ngadeu D
25 Núrio Fortuna M
20 J. Torunarigha D
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
24 S. Kums M
13 J. De Sart M
17 A. Hjulsager F
18 M. Samoise M
29 L. Depoitre F
23 Y. Malede F
Bench (7)
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
9 R. Bezus
31 B. Godeau
3 C. Opéri
1 S. Bolat
6 E. Owusu
2 J. Okumu

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Waregem

3-4-2-1
1 S. Bossut G
76 T. Derijck D
27 L. De Bock D
14 A. Ciranni M
24 E. Pletinckx D
15 F. Boya M
98 I. Doumbia M
9 J. Vossen F
93 Z. Gano F
17 J. Dompé F
54 D. De Neve M
Bench (7)
16 A. Sissako
21 I. Seck
19 D. Kutesa
33 C. Humphreys-Grant
50 S. Van Damme
5 Dion-Johan Cools
6 D. Hubert

Coach: T. Simons

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,25
U
5,97
B
10,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.