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Super League
Referee: M Gestranius
PAOK
T U S S S
0–0
Full-time
Panathinaikos
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Super League · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
44%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
56%
35%
Both score Ø 49%
53%
44%
Average goals
2,7
2,1
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
7 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 2. · Panathinaikos 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 34 27 5 2 +59 86
2 PAOK 34 17 10 7 +25 61
3 AEK 34 18 7 9 +11 61
4 Aris Thessalonikis 31 17 6 8 +17 57
5 Aris 31 17 6 8 +17 57
6 Panathinaikos 34 15 8 11 +10 53
7 Asteras Tripolis 34 12 11 11 -5 47
8 Volos NFC 32 9 12 11 -7 39
9 Giannina 33 9 10 14 -5 37
10 Lamia 33 8 11 14 -20 35
11 Atromitos 33 6 14 13 -16 32
12 Apollon 32 8 6 18 -14 30
13 OFI Crete 33 7 7 19 -23 28
14 Panetolikos 33 6 10 17 -23 28
15 Larisa 33 5 9 19 -26 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Panathinaikos
20′
🟨 Fran Vélez
Theocharis Tsingaras 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
M. Krmenčík 🔁
↦ K. Świderski
46′
T. Murg 🔁
↦ C. Tzolis
55′
S. Schwab 🔁
↦ T. Tsiggaras
56′
57′
🔁 Y. N'Gbakoto
↦ Y. Sankharé
60′
🟨 Yeni N'Gbakoto
L. Lamprou 🔁
↦ O. El Kaddouri
65′
69′
🔁 A. Kampetsis
↦ F. Ioannidis
77′
🟨 Cheikh Niasse
Lefteris Lyratzis 🟨
78′
S. Ingason 🔁
↦ E. Lyratzis
80′
88′
🔁 Carlitos López
↦ F. Macheda
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

PAOK

3-4-3
31 A. Paschalakis G
5 Fernando Varela D
21 A. Baba D
49 I. Michailidis D
19 E. Lyratzis D
20 Vieirinha M
7 O. El Kaddouri M
33 Douglas M
51 T. Tsiggaras M
9 K. Świderski F
11 C. Tzolis F
Bench (9)
27 M. Krmenčík
10 T. Murg
22 S. Schwab
97 L. Lamprou
4 S. Ingason
46 K. Giaxis
2 Rodrigo Alves
65 I. Konstantelias
88 Ž. Živković

Coach: P. García

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
1 S. Dioudis G
4 Fran Vélez D
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis D
44 A. Poungouras D
6 Y. Sankharé M
58 Y. Mollo M
19 L. Villafáñez M
88 Maurício M
17 C. Niasse M
9 F. Macheda F
27 F. Ioannidis F
Bench (9)
23 Y. N'Gbakoto
99 A. Kampetsis
10 Carlitos López
55 S. Alexandropoulos
68 N. Christogeorgos
22 Aitor Cantalapiedra
14 F. Sánchez
5 B. Schenkeveld
8 Y. Ayoub

Coach: L. Bölöni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,48
U ✓
3,93
B
6,82
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,37
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.