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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: H Sletner
Stromsgodset
T S U S S
5–4
Full-time
Ranheim
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Ranheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
2,3
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 64%
67%
60%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 82%
83%
80%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
2,3
2,6
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stromsgodset 4. · Ranheim 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Odd 6 5 1 0 +9 16
2 Kongsvinger 6 4 2 0 +7 14
3 Stabaek 6 4 1 1 +9 13
4 Stromsgodset 6 4 1 1 +8 13
5 Egersund 7 4 0 3 +4 12
6 Haugesund 6 4 0 2 +3 12
7 Ranheim 5 3 1 1 +6 10
8 hodd 6 3 1 2 +0 10
9 Moss 6 3 0 3 -3 9
10 Sandnes ULF 7 2 1 4 -2 7
11 Sogndal 6 2 1 3 -4 7
12 Lyn 6 2 0 4 -5 6
13 Bryne 6 1 1 4 -5 4
14 Strommen 5 1 1 3 -6 4
15 Raufoss 6 0 1 5 -9 1
16 Asane 6 0 0 6 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Ranheim
3′
M. Johnsen 0–1
L. Vilsvik 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–2
48′
M. Johnsen 0–2
M. Sylva
52′
A. Fossli 0–3
J. Taaje 🔁
↦ B. Sormo
58′
G. Wikheim 🔁
↦ E. Melkersen
58′
63′
🔁 F. Nyenetue
↦ A. Fossli
1–3 S. Pingel
V. Dedes
63′
66′
🟨 F. Camara
2–3 H. Stengel
69′
H. Stengel 🟨
70′
3–3 F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa
V. Dedes
72′
73′
J. Taaje 4–3
own goal
5–3 F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa
G. Wikheim
74′
K. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ K. Antonsen
77′
O. Enersen 🔁
↦ L. Vilsvik
77′
80′
🔁 J. Berisha
↦ M. Sylva
80′
🔁 S. Diop
↦ O. Holden
M. Spiten 🔁
↦ F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa
83′
6–3 M. Mehnert
K. Krasniqi
89′
90′
🔁 M. Emilsen
↦ S. Sjovold
93′
🟥 T. B. Haukeberg
Full-time 6–3

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

12 S. Lampinen-Skaug
26 L. Vilsvik
5 B. Sormo
71 G. Valsvik
3 V. Dedes
16 F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa
22 K. Antonsen
77 M. Mehnert
10 H. Stengel
9 E. Melkersen
11 S. Pingel
Bench (9)
1 M. Lamhauge
8 K. Krasniqi
14 O. Enersen
15 A. Heredia-Randen
25 J. Taaje
37 S. A. Marcello Silalahi
39 M. Spiten
47 S. Andresen
80 G. Wikheim

Coach: Magne Hoseth

Ranheim

1 J. Storevik
22 T. B. Haukeberg
19 J. Pereira
4 T. Kongerud
5 N. Pallas
11 M. Sylva
18 F. Camara
26 S. Sjovold
20 A. Fossli
8 O. Holden
10 M. Johnsen
Bench (7)
12 O. Madsen
3 C. Aasbak
7 M. Emilsen
9 J. Berisha
15 F. Nyenetue
16 S. Diop
21 E. Solberg

Coach: Eggen Rismark Christian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.