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Eliteserien

Referee: Espen Eskas

Lillestrom

U S T S T

3–1

Full-time

Sandefjord

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Sandefjord

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 57%

63%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

38%

25%

Both score Ø 25%

25%

Average goals

2,4

1,8

Scored

1,6

0,9

Conceded

0,8

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,91 xG 1,07

53% Possession 47%

14 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lillestrom 3. · Sandefjord 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	10	7	2	1	+9	+7.8	23
2	Viking	8	7	0	1	+15	+10.6	21
3	Lillestrom	8	5	1	2	+7	+3.1	16
4	Brann	9	4	1	4	+8	+5.5	13
5	Bodo/Glimt	7	4	1	2	+7	+7.3	13
6	Molde	8	4	1	3	+4	+0.5	13
7	Ham-Kam	7	4	1	2	+0	-1.8	13
8	Sandefjord	8	4	1	3	+0	-0.2	13
9	Sarpsborg 08	8	2	2	4	-4	+1.1	8
10	Kristiansund	7	2	2	3	-4	-3.1	8
11	Valerenga	8	2	2	4	-5	-4.6	8
12	Rosenborg	8	2	2	4	-6	-2.3	8
13	KFUM Oslo	9	2	2	5	-7	-4.7	8
14	Fredrikstad	8	2	1	5	-7	-6.7	7
15	Start	8	0	4	4	-10	-4.0	4
16	Aalesund	7	0	3	4	-7	-8.5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	7	5	1	1	+7	+7.8	16
2	Viking	4	4	0	0	+12	+4.3	12
3	Ham-Kam	5	4	0	1	+3	-0.7	12
4	Molde	4	3	0	1	+8	+3.1	9
5	Rosenborg	4	2	1	1	+1	+2.3	7
6	Sandefjord	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.4	7
7	Kristiansund	4	2	1	1	+0	-2.0	7
8	Bodo/Glimt	3	2	0	1	+7	+6.9	6
9	Lillestrom	3	2	0	1	+4	+2.8	6
10	Brann	4	2	0	2	+1	+3.7	6
11	KFUM Oslo	4	2	0	2	+0	-2.5	6
12	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.9	5
13	Fredrikstad	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.4	4
14	Valerenga	4	1	1	2	-2	-3.2	4
15	Start	3	0	3	0	+0	+1.7	3
16	Aalesund	4	0	2	2	-3	-1.9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lillestrom	5	3	1	1	+3	+0.3	10
2	Viking	4	3	0	1	+3	+6.3	9
3	Brann	5	2	1	2	+7	+1.8	7
4	Tromso	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.0	7
5	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+0	+0.4	7
6	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.6	6
7	Valerenga	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.4	4
8	Molde	4	1	1	2	-4	-2.5	4
9	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	0	3	-4	-0.9	3
10	Fredrikstad	5	1	0	4	-8	-5.2	3
11	KFUM Oslo	5	0	2	3	-7	-2.2	2
12	Ham-Kam	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.1	1
13	Kristiansund	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.1	1
14	Aalesund	3	0	1	2	-4	-6.7	1
15	Rosenborg	4	0	1	3	-7	-4.5	1
16	Start	5	0	1	4	-10	-5.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.